CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs TNC (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fb35f67ccf48f5082de2ce1372c93e0e76e9a9e9040addac2b93197eee56001
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TNCof HEROIC Academy, TNC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,476
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,945
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,476 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked HEROIC Academy | 61c | 4,784$2,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,913.59 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed TNC | 28c | 2,460$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.2 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked TNC | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked TNC | 50c | 1,544$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.82 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda1a…3407backed TNC | 35c | 1,328$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.04 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed HEROIC Academy | 49c | 1,254$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.56 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecb…52a5backed TNC | 79c | 767.06$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.34 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa17c…b2e6backed TNC | 57c | 521.45$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.34 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed HEROIC Academy | 49c | 432.92$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.45 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…b5a5backed HEROIC Academy | 48c | 428.86$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.31 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +18.3wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed HEROIC Academy | 50c | 381.15$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.63 | 286 | 60.1%172 W · 114 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed HEROIC Academy | 74c | 317.04$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.03 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked HEROIC Academy | 15c | 271.72$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.76 | 190 | 30.5%58 W · 132 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HEROIC Academy | 35c | 261.22$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.33 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed HEROIC Academy | 75c | 250$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d78…b8b9backed TNC | 54c | 249.98$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.99 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed TNC | 51c | 241.3$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked TNC | 28c | 203.61$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.98 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked HEROIC Academy | 53c | 140.89$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d5…7c98backed HEROIC Academy | 50c | 134.42$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.21 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…d8d9backed HEROIC Academy | 79c | 128.27$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.34 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked HEROIC Academy | 43c | 126.6$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.41 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked TNC | 50c | 125.75$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.47 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed HEROIC Academy | 46c | 117.54$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked HEROIC Academy | 49c | 117.04$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.92 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked HEROIC Academy | 59c | 109.21$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.64 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked TNC | 34c | 97.94$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked HEROIC Academy | 57c | 91.12$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.87 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed TNC | 46c | 79.12$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked HEROIC Academy | 47c | 72.55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…b159backed HEROIC Academy | 74c | 56.82$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked HEROIC Academy | 27c | 54.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 161 | 46%74 W · 87 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed TNC | 20c | 54.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.22 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked TNC | 68c | 51.96$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e0…cf2dbacked TNC | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed HEROIC Academy | 47c | 47.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed HEROIC Academy | 60c | 39.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea49…434fbacked HEROIC Academy | 54c | 35.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda0…edaabacked HEROIC Academy | 56c | 34.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb997…faacbacked TNC | 75c | 32.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed HEROIC Academy | 50c | 32.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked TNC | 32c | 32.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2c…359fbacked HEROIC Academy | 65c | 30.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed HEROIC Academy | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed HEROIC Academy | 50c | 26.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81fc…f616backed HEROIC Academy | 65c | 24.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked TNC | 45c | 24.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4754…c1fdbacked HEROIC Academy | 59c | 19.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed HEROIC Academy | 60c | 18.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.