Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs Alliance Guardians - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fba459c7c4066f16e09ca0d08e19a9fb68a30dfc0bebfa873b80b4a0a14e59e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alliance Guardiansof Evil Geniuses Academy, Alliance Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,891
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,891 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd56b…342dbacked Alliance Guardians | 48c | 624.93$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.11 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Alliance Guardians | 50c | 427.03$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.1 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 61c | 263.5$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.73 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 52c | 257.53$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.41 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 28c | 252.4$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.69 | 312 | 27.6%86 W · 226 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Alliance Guardians | 37c | 242$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.49 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Alliance Guardians | 19c | 226.09$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.65 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 47c | 225.89$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.66 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 52c | 203.53$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.31 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 54c | 188.44$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.02 | 236 | 44.5%105 W · 131 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 48c | 187.95$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.42 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…279bbacked Alliance Guardians | 47c | 186.28$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.92 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 42c | 171.5$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.81 | 338 | 38.5%130 W · 208 L | -21.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 52c | 134.65$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.77 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 59c | 125$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.75 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Alliance Guardians | 40c | 104.83$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.6 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 59c | 104.26$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.76 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Alliance Guardians | 52c | 99.32$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.08 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Alliance Guardians | 43c | 93.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.93 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Alliance Guardians | 55c | 92.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.92 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…933abacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 78c | 70.51$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f19…77e3backed Alliance Guardians | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 59c | 60.78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 57c | 54.42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Alliance Guardians | 43c | 48.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf5…1095backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 66c | 45.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 117 | 70.9%83 W · 34 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Alliance Guardians | 40c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 122 | 61.5%75 W · 47 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 65c | 42.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…c7afbacked Alliance Guardians | 46c | 33.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Alliance Guardians | 35c | 33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 38c | 31.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 72c | 30.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…084cbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd565…d785backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 69c | 28.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 72c | 26.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 58c | 23.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 51c | 22.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 183 | 3.3%6 W · 177 L | -73.1wins | -0.40per pick | 43cpaid | -93.1%equal weight | 11-0.35 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 47c | 21.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d7…a1ffbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 56c | 18.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs Alliance Guardians - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group StageEvil Geniuses Academy won
- Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs Alliance Guardians - Map 2 WinnerEvil Geniuses Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.