Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: RED (-1.5) vs LOS (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fc62e7786a3e260770b8c3aaec4c6a479aecc7f9b0d7b9482369568a26c2079
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LOSof RED Canids, LOS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,579
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,969
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,579 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb40e…7787backed LOS | 60c | 1,960$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.2 | 649 | 43.1%280 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed RED Canids | 39c | 1,016$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.59 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed RED Canids | 22c | 748.63$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.19 | 2,240 | 37.3%836 W · 1,404 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed LOS | 62c | 530.98$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.09 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked RED Canids | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 866 | 49.7%430 W · 436 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed RED Canids | 52c | 443.26$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.08 | 1,265 | 42.8%541 W · 724 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked RED Canids | 40c | 438.13$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.25 | 119 | 38.7%46 W · 73 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6c…d38ebacked RED Canids | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.59 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked RED Canids | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 160 | 48.8%78 W · 82 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed LOS | 47c | 244.79$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.64 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked LOS | 58c | 186.5$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.15 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed LOS | 55c | 182$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 329 | 41%135 W · 194 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked LOS | 58c | 156$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 675 | 52.4%354 W · 321 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked RED Canids | 42c | 148$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -13.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked RED Canids | 38c | 138.69$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.25 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6983…88c3backed RED Canids | 40c | 130.15$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.06 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed LOS | 55c | 130$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked RED Canids | 40c | 125.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 219 | 44.3%97 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed LOS | 60c | 113.33$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.33 | 392 | 44.9%176 W · 216 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed LOS | 51c | 109.64$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.02 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed LOS | 55c | 107$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 1,213 | 43.4%527 W · 686 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked LOS | 46c | 105$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 420 | 42.4%178 W · 242 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed RED Canids | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2,521 | 47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L | -34.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a8…2539backed RED Canids | 46c | 75.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb03b…4197backed RED Canids | 39c | 64.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked RED Canids | 45c | 61.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 248 | 36.7%91 W · 157 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked LOS | 49c | 54.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed LOS | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 376 | 50%188 W · 188 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…b09bbacked LOS | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed LOS | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed RED Canids | 51c | 30.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -30.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed LOS | 41c | 30.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 1,399 | 44.9%628 W · 771 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed LOS | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 150 | 60.7%91 W · 59 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked RED Canids | 51c | 22.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 184 | 63.6%117 W · 67 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…9bb3backed LOS | 76c | 20.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 159 | 56%89 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: RED (-1.5) vs LOS (+1.5)this page
- Game Handicap: RED (-2.5) vs LOS (+2.5)LOS won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- LoL: RED Canids vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL PlayoffsLOS won
- LoL: RED Canids vs LOS - Game 1 WinnerLOS won
- LoL: RED Canids vs LOS - Game 2 WinnerLOS won
- LoL: RED Canids vs LOS - Game 3 WinnerLOS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.