CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Just Players - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90085fd6968287de9e4b28d7628ae13c0c52f3974e7ce4f8e601fe5f3ae13226
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Just Playersof WRAITH PCIFIC, Just Players
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,487
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,487 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1186…0355backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 42c | 1,536$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.11 | 233 | 56.2%131 W · 102 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 43c | 811.82$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 286 | 37.8%108 W · 178 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Just Players | 57c | 628$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.04 | 473 | 47.1%223 W · 250 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 23c | 389.39$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.07 | 1,431 | 39%558 W · 873 L | -41.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Just Players | 57c | 251.84$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.29 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Just Players | 71c | 250.2$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.07 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…8ee6backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 10c | 229.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Just Players | 67c | 222.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.46 | 243 | 58%141 W · 102 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Just Players | 61c | 197.68$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.91 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 16c | 188.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 817 | 44.7%365 W · 452 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 31c | 163.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 19c | 152.1$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 742 | 39.1%290 W · 452 L | -29.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4b…0113backed Just Players | 62c | 144.38$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.38 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2b…cec3backed Just Players | 56c | 144.02$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.37 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 23c | 142.63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 384 | 21.9%84 W · 300 L | -44.9wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 8c | 130$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 310 | 43.9%136 W · 174 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 26c | 121.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Just Players | 69c | 110.2$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed Just Players | 67c | 90$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 408 | 56.9%232 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Just Players | 75c | 75.01$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Just Players | 72c | 75.01$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 26c | 70.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07c1…68f4backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 20c | 65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Just Players | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Just Players | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 1,397 | 52.4%732 W · 665 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…aef7backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Just Players | 79c | 53.73$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 1,167 | 48.2%562 W · 605 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Just Players | 61c | 48.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Just Players | 50c | 45.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 1,377 | 66.4%914 W · 463 L | +77.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Just Players | 80c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1,890 | 41.9%791 W · 1,099 L | -71.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Just Players | 80c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Just Players | 65c | 44.17$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 47c | 43.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 618 | 55%340 W · 278 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Just Players | 49c | 43.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 624 | 48.2%301 W · 323 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Just Players | 57c | 34.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 773 | 46.1%356 W · 417 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Just Players | 67c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 1,142 | 54.4%621 W · 521 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Just Players | 66c | 25.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0af6…ffdbbacked Just Players | 64c | 23.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5064…12d0backed Just Players | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x395a…eb72backed Just Players | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 89 | 73%65 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Just Players - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group StageJust Players won
- Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Just Players - Map 1 WinnerJust Players won
- Map Handicap: JustP (-1.5) vs WRAITH PCIFIC (+1.5)Just Players won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.