Tennis · resolved market
Miami Open, Qualification: Mary Stoiana vs Yulia Starodubtseva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x900c006f658f38e8f34f869946b34f3c096fc3d0055e3dc6fb039c61af6c197d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yulia Starodubtsevaof Mary Stoiana, Yulia Starodubtseva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,172 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yulia Starodubtseva | 69c | 1,874$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.69 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Mary Stoiana | 28c | 1,555$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.2 | 440 | 38.4%169 W · 271 L | -27.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.99 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Yulia Starodubtseva | 74c | 1,448$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.23 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 56c | 1,439$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.3 | 239 | 45.6%109 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Mary Stoiana | 41c | 1,294$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.55 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…ddd0backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 78c | 1,283$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.87 | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Mary Stoiana | 27c | 1,200$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.29 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 55c | 916.08$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.77 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Mary Stoiana | 46c | 870$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.2 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Mary Stoiana | 42c | 742.19$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.72 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 54c | 720.5$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.43 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Mary Stoiana | 42c | 399$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.58 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Mary Stoiana | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 67c | 262$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.84 | 269 | 41.3%111 W · 158 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yulia Starodubtseva | 68c | 231$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.01 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yulia Starodubtseva | 58c | 230$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Mary Stoiana | 42c | 205.96$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.39 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Yulia Starodubtseva | 76c | 172.94$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.56 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 58c | 172.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.77 | 573 | 49.6%284 W · 289 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 67c | 172$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.43 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Mary Stoiana | 44c | 146.52$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.32 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Mary Stoiana | 29c | 141.9$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.02 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Mary Stoiana | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 433 | 53.6%232 W · 201 L | +32.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 58c | 114.98$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.29 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Mary Stoiana | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yulia Starodubtseva | 57c | 110.82$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.15 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Yulia Starodubtseva | 56c | 109.63$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.35 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Mary Stoiana | 44c | 108$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked Mary Stoiana | 45c | 100.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Mary Stoiana | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 245 | 47.8%117 W · 128 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Mary Stoiana | 43c | 99.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 147 | 46.3%68 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Mary Stoiana | 25c | 92.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 363 | 33.9%123 W · 240 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mary Stoiana | 21c | 90.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 58c | 87.69$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.02 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…f152backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 69c | 86.63$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 734 | 58.6%430 W · 304 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Mary Stoiana | 42c | 82.14$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Mary Stoiana | 36c | 77.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Mary Stoiana | 35c | 66.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Mary Stoiana | 43c | 58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Mary Stoiana | 44c | 57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 770 | 47.9%369 W · 401 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Mary Stoiana | 28c | 51.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x157e…7acabacked Yulia Starodubtseva | 70c | 50.01$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 261 | 69.3%181 W · 80 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x568f…d803backed Mary Stoiana | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Mary Stoiana | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Mary Stoiana | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Mary Stoiana | 56c | 44.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Mary Stoiana | 44c | 42.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Mary Stoiana | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 474 | 53.2%252 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 64c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Mary Stoiana | 43c | 26.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…4f54backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 68c | 25.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 263 | 49.4%130 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…ec76backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 210 | 72.4%152 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.