Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Utah State Aggies vs. Colorado State Rams
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x906155783777dff59b80b6fa752dee1d60f2671ca7f9f28fdb421b2fbe77ef99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utah State Aggiesof Utah State Aggies, Colorado State Rams
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,130
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,005
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,130 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f15…2fa3backed Utah State Aggies | 7c | 571$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f91…d531backed Colorado State Rams | 18c | 415$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76fd…e8c4backed Colorado State Rams | 18c | 388$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc9…67f9backed Utah State Aggies | 9c | 376$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,011.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd8…757abacked Colorado State Rams | 19c | 351$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +217.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7086…f376backed Colorado State Rams | 19c | 346$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…01b1backed Colorado State Rams | 15c | 306$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a9…fee3backed Colorado State Rams | 18c | 248$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1220…741abacked Colorado State Rams | 14c | 236$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9778…1d7bbacked Colorado State Rams | 18c | 192$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Colorado State Rams | 32c | 190.47$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.95 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Utah State Aggies | 68c | 185.47$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.35 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8081…95cabacked Colorado State Rams | 35c | 183.45$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.05 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2abd…74ebbacked Colorado State Rams | 18c | 182$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9280…99b4backed Utah State Aggies | 66c | 103$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.54 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Utah State Aggies | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Colorado State Rams | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed20…84f1backed Colorado State Rams | 26c | 39.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Utah State Aggies | 69c | 35.26$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Colorado State Rams | 34c | 29.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Utah State Aggies | 66c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed Colorado State Rams | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 299 | 54.2%162 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed Utah State Aggies | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.