CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90ac21b63449df5a108e1f1dc15e41e6888504f3b05d043f2567b8b135d279e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rebels Gamingof Rebels Gaming, ex-Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,909
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,490
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,909 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked Rebels Gaming | 50c | 2,152$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.8 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…4df8backed Rebels Gaming | 50c | 1,999$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.32 | 183 | 56.3%103 W · 80 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 47c | 519.93$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.94 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 50c | 367.06$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 48c | 350$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 244 | 47.1%115 W · 129 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 50c | 331$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.5 | 293 | 40.6%119 W · 174 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8edb…d34dbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 50c | 312.6$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.3 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 50c | 304.56$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.28 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 17c | 268.17$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.59 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 50c | 256.1$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 8c | 237$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 50c | 236.67$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.34 | 406 | 39.4%160 W · 246 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 49c | 235$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.05 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe075…bf89backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 50c | 222$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed Rebels Gaming | 51c | 200$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed Rebels Gaming | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…7367backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb159…b1d2backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 50c | 197.96$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 49c | 180.88$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.63 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Rebels Gaming | 80c | 180.63$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 50c | 178.96$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.48 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…afaebacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 49c | 130.59$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 50c | 130$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 331 | 46.5%154 W · 177 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da6…107abacked Rebels Gaming | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 18c | 61.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df3…b8bebacked Rebels Gaming | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d0…bf0cbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 44c | 49.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2669…fa0dbacked Rebels Gaming | 53c | 28.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e38…b4cbbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stageex-Zero Tenacity won
- Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 1 Winnerex-Zero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.