Tennis · resolved market
ITF Aldershot: James Story vs Rhys Lawlor
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90b29463d0cb8c601b64ac89a9069e9cf7ed215edf93366c156a545bcb77515d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- James Storyof James Story, Rhys Lawlor
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,938
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,938 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked James Story | 62c | 888.66$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.55 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Rhys Lawlor | 38c | 599.99$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.8 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rhys Lawlor | 37c | 449.97$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.49 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Rhys Lawlor | 32c | 290.06$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.81 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed James Story | 56c | 206$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.64 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Rhys Lawlor | 42c | 137.03$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.22 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed James Story | 69c | 123.19$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Rhys Lawlor | 28c | 98.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed James Story | 64c | 98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.58 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed James Story | 64c | 94.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Rhys Lawlor | 36c | 77.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Rhys Lawlor | 32c | 75.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Rhys Lawlor | 65c | 64.75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.09 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked James Story | 60c | 60.27$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed James Story | 65c | 53.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Rhys Lawlor | 41c | 49.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed James Story | 63c | 38.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf8…5d40backed James Story | 65c | 37.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked James Story | 64c | 32.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Rhys Lawlor | 35c | 30.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed James Story | 63c | 27.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed James Story | 62c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed James Story | 64c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 298 | 51.7%154 W · 144 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked James Story | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked James Story | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed James Story | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked James Story | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed James Story | 55c | 18.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked James Story | 61c | 17.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04fc…eba1backed Rhys Lawlor | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 124 | 67.7%84 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf2…898ebacked Rhys Lawlor | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.