Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kramsach: Max Wiskandt vs Vladyslav Orlov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90bde64e72f0892d0c71154aaa8605b0b0b0d46304db95b294543c4a665926a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vladyslav Orlovof Max Wiskandt, Vladyslav Orlov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Max Wiskandt | 56c | 2,968$1,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.89 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Vladyslav Orlov | 40c | 2,475$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Max Wiskandt | 64c | 1,567$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 625 | 57.6%360 W · 265 L | -18.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Max Wiskandt | 28c | 1,106$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.85 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Vladyslav Orlov | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5331…3672backed Vladyslav Orlov | 35c | 997.02$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.02 | 313 | 47.6%149 W · 164 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Max Wiskandt | 67c | 944.78$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633 | 1,091 | 60.2%657 W · 434 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Vladyslav Orlov | 62c | 877.4$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.98 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Vladyslav Orlov | 33c | 615.4$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.78 | 288 | 35.1%101 W · 187 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Vladyslav Orlov | 36c | 600$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Max Wiskandt | 48c | 598.11$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.09 | 3,711 | 45.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Max Wiskandt | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Max Wiskandt | 60c | 205.87$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.63 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Max Wiskandt | 8c | 197.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Vladyslav Orlov | 40c | 175$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Max Wiskandt | 67c | 147.76$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1,785 | 48.7%869 W · 916 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcafb…a4e4backed Vladyslav Orlov | 46c | 147.04$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Vladyslav Orlov | 35c | 143.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.12 | 2,444 | 51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Max Wiskandt | 64c | 112.5$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Max Wiskandt | 50c | 88.42$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Max Wiskandt | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 826 | 57.1%472 W · 354 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Max Wiskandt | 24c | 65.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aca…5d2bbacked Max Wiskandt | 63c | 63.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Max Wiskandt | 67c | 55.82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 215 | 54%116 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…a760backed Vladyslav Orlov | 36c | 48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +40%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Max Wiskandt | 48c | 35.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 602 | 41.2%248 W · 354 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Vladyslav Orlov | 41c | 34.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Vladyslav Orlov | 54c | 33.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Max Wiskandt | 54c | 30.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafae…ca54backed Max Wiskandt | 67c | 28.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1233…444abacked Max Wiskandt | 67c | 28.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Max Wiskandt | 63c | 27.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Vladyslav Orlov | 36c | 27.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Max Wiskandt | 66c | 26.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Max Wiskandt | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 1,730 | 52.2%903 W · 827 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…98a7backed Max Wiskandt | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 172 | 42.4%73 W · 99 L | -17.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.