Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Duquesne Dukes vs. Nevada Wolf Pack
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90cf2520d064e6f5b3806c00845478a7c7df74cff67d9c36004472f770e50cad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nevada Wolf Packof Duquesne Dukes, Nevada Wolf Pack
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Duquesne Dukes | 26c | 3,232$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.44 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 74c | 2,360$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.91 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Duquesne Dukes | 16c | 1,759$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.72 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Duquesne Dukes | 23c | 1,196$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.69 | 105 | 11.4%12 W · 93 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 74c | 921$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.46 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 77c | 822.71$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.22 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 76c | 599.99$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 79c | 504.31$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.53 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Duquesne Dukes | 23c | 442.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.45 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 79c | 306$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.94 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Duquesne Dukes | 29c | 245.52$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.88 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Duquesne Dukes | 6c | 231.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 78c | 196$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Duquesne Dukes | 24c | 192.65$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Duquesne Dukes | 20c | 190$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 124 | 35.5%44 W · 80 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Duquesne Dukes | 41c | 173.58$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.33 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Duquesne Dukes | 11c | 169$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…a3dbbacked Duquesne Dukes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Duquesne Dukes | 23c | 152.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.08 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 78c | 138$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Duquesne Dukes | 24c | 113$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 77c | 112$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 78c | 107$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Duquesne Dukes | 23c | 87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 75c | 84.94$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 77c | 77$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 75c | 66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…2c48backed Duquesne Dukes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed Duquesne Dukes | 22c | 49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…05afbacked Duquesne Dukes | 22c | 48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed Duquesne Dukes | 25c | 47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…8383backed Duquesne Dukes | 23c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 78c | 41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…02dbbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 35 | 77.1%27 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Duquesne Dukes | 27c | 39.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 62c | 32.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Duquesne Dukes | 54c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 75c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 77c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.