Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Navarro vs Golubic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90ea94b1d871465e6c50bb4be44d07dc22c6d3c33db6ce9da40f426a780a9f4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Navarroof Navarro, Golubic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,056
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,187
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,056 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1a1…7bebbacked Navarro | 78c | 4,250$3,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Golubic | 22c | 2,990$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.8 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Navarro | 47c | 1,864$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.99 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Golubic | 1c | 1,276$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Golubic | 15c | 502$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.93 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Golubic | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa01a…3aeebacked Golubic | 36c | 411.05$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.09 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Golubic | 25c | 209.56$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.41 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2b…fb88backed Navarro | 70c | 173.74$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x19bd…ae36backed Navarro | 78c | 85.9$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8356…16b7backed Golubic | 31c | 67.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 67 | 17.9%12 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Navarro | 50c | 59.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Golubic | 29c | 37.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 710 | 21.3%151 W · 559 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Golubic | 42c | 33.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8c…e77dbacked Navarro | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Navarro | 71c | 22.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Navarro vs Golubicthis page
- Navarro vs. Golubic: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Navarro vs. Golubic: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Nottingham Open: Emma Navarro vs Viktorija GolubicEmma Navarro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.