CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Lavked - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91127c6a11054e3b00140d1d56064dca8f9dbfa5929ad26566efdfbe7017ad13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuclear TigeRESof Nuclear TigeRES, Lavked
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,663
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,663 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x64f7…afa6backed Nuclear TigeRES | 41c | 2,565$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.26 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lavked | 54c | 1,563$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.02 | 3,269 | 50.3%1,644 W · 1,625 L | +98.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdff5…7bd9backed Lavked | 45c | 1,081$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.42 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Lavked | 44c | 591.09$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.83 | 3,274 | 51.3%1,678 W · 1,596 L | +91.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd0…389fbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 73c | 439.26$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.6 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nuclear TigeRES | 61c | 413.42$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.22 | 6,540 | 42.9%2,805 W · 3,735 L | -81.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Nuclear TigeRES | 59c | 329.4$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.29 | 1,205 | 54.5%657 W · 548 L | -37.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 57c | 209.26$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.19 | 5,707 | 47.2%2,694 W · 3,013 L | +45.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Lavked | 51c | 200$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.67 | 2,606 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,235 L | +96.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Lavked | 34c | 140$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Lavked | 44c | 119.31$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 436 | 37.6%164 W · 272 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Nuclear TigeRES | 59c | 112.06$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 4,275 | 49.3%2,108 W · 2,167 L | +64.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Lavked | 26c | 109.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Lavked | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Lavked | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lavked | 14c | 90.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 8,133 | 50.3%4,091 W · 4,042 L | +169.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Lavked | 16c | 85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Lavked | 36c | 80$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 66c | 76.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Lavked | 42c | 72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Lavked | 42c | 72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed Lavked | 34c | 70.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 153 | 58.2%89 W · 64 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Lavked | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Lavked | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Lavked | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf11a…1002backed Nuclear TigeRES | 42c | 29.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 281 | 48.4%136 W · 145 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nuclear TigeRES | 56c | 28.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 4,165 | 50.9%2,119 W · 2,046 L | +70.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Nuclear TigeRES | 66c | 22.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Lavked - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Lavked (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageNuclear TigeRES won
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Lavked - Map 2 WinnerNuclear TigeRES won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.