Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Potapova (-1.5) vs Lamens (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9118bfa34fd92b95ee42f2e0036d2303f38ffe8a490c19476e36d9989cacb16b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lamensof Potapova, Lamens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,069
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,069 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Potapova | 61c | 12,289$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 363 | 46.8%170 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Lamens | 39c | 7,500$2,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,575 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Lamens | 38c | 2,624$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.65 | 384 | 46.4%178 W · 206 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Lamens | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.05 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Lamens | 39c | 985.25$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Potapova | 61c | 857.09$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.82 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Lamens | 41c | 599.99$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.16 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Lamens | 39c | 319.67$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…d723backed Potapova | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.99 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Potapova | 56c | 156.41$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.59 | 478 | 54.8%262 W · 216 L | +25.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Lamens | 39c | 132.35$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.73 | 268 | 49.3%132 W · 136 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Lamens | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c82…5a52backed Lamens | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Lamens | 39c | 80$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Lamens | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Lamens | 52c | 41.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Potapova | 54c | 30.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b7…fd93backed Lamens | 44c | 30.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Potapova | 49c | 29.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…0918backed Potapova | 61c | 23.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 498 | 57%284 W · 214 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Potapova (-1.5) vs Lamens (+1.5)this page
- Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Suzan LamensAnastasia Potapova won
- Set 1 Winner: Potapova vs LamensLamens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.