Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Potapova vs Lamens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x425f1a7b5bd89027977e8dbb3404d3611b39fcca0dd851d36e199334df553556
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lamensof Potapova, Lamens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,928
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,928 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa4f9…9419backed Lamens | 31c | 5,291$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,670.01 | 308 | 27.6%85 W · 223 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Potapova | 69c | 4,550$3,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,145.98 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Potapova | 68c | 1,164$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.32 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70bc…4e16backed Lamens | 33c | 1,073$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.57 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Lamens | 26c | 787.85$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.01 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Potapova | 74c | 783.68$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.93 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1a…e943backed Potapova | 10c | 437$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 215 | 24.7%53 W · 162 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Potapova | 50c | 335.9$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.95 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Potapova | 65c | 200$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.24 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Potapova | 33c | 195.43$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.07 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Potapova | 39c | 188.89$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.87 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Lamens | 32c | 162$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.15 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccf…aa10backed Lamens | 47c | 156$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.02 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Lamens | 50c | 126.3$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.15 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Potapova | 68c | 110.78$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.33 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Lamens | 47c | 105.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.74 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Lamens | 50c | 94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 367 | 57.8%212 W · 155 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Lamens | 57c | 85.89$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Potapova | 57c | 47.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 309 | 31.1%96 W · 213 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Potapova | 72c | 38.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 857 | 42.8%367 W · 490 L | -23.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Potapova | 77c | 26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ce…41acbacked Potapova | 78c | 17.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 133 | 66.2%88 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Potapova vs Lamensthis page
- Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Suzan LamensAnastasia Potapova won
- Set Handicap: Potapova (-1.5) vs Lamens (+1.5)Lamens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.