Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs Vitality.Bee (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x912696cd56f67c6656490ebb8847e0a7a93e329ce4825bd6d9a98fefed58451f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Galionsof Galions, Vitality.Bee
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,040
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,084
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,040 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf38…848bbacked Galions | 44c | 888$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.28 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Vitality.Bee | 56c | 588$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.28 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed Vitality.Bee | 52c | 480.57$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 660 | 59.8%395 W · 265 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Vitality.Bee | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 480 | 42.3%203 W · 277 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Galions | 48c | 278.99$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.07 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Galions | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 605 | 38.8%235 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…eb15backed Vitality.Bee | 51c | 99.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.98 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…3734backed Galions | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Vitality.Bee | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df2…d357backed Vitality.Bee | 52c | 42.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 409 | 59.2%242 W · 167 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Vitality.Bee | 50c | 41.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…8259backed Vitality.Bee | 51c | 38.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 381 | 44.6%170 W · 211 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12dc…9832backed Galions | 49c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…b387backed Galions | 48c | 37.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2edd…cf00backed Galions | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Galions | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Galions | 50c | 28.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Galions | 47c | 22.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs Vitality.Bee (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Vitality.Bee vs Galions (BO3) - LFL PlayoffsGalions won
- LoL: Vitality.Bee vs Galions - Game 1 WinnerGalions won
- LoL: Vitality.Bee vs Galions - Game 2 WinnerGalions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.