Lol · resolved market
LoL: Vitality.Bee vs Galions - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d6096821f4ff1944ab1429073f572f33b18f5eaeafe758cd0218aa5fcd34d9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Galionsof Vitality.Bee, Galions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,639
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,968
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,639 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Vitality.Bee | 0c | 48,283$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.28 | 893 | 47%420 W · 473 L | +44.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Galions | 73c | 4,289$3,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.57 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Galions | 70c | 4,098$2,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.3 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Vitality.Bee | 29c | 2,818$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.26 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked Galions | 70c | 2,751$1,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.92 | 511 | 60.3%308 W · 203 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed Vitality.Bee | 30c | 2,080$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 689 | 42.5%293 W · 396 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Galions | 71c | 1,920$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.8 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2518…254fbacked Vitality.Bee | 35c | 1,509$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.39 | 533 | 55%293 W · 240 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Vitality.Bee | 21c | 1,435$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.47 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Vitality.Bee | 22c | 1,411$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.96 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Vitality.Bee | 31c | 1,332$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.39 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Vitality.Bee | 31c | 1,318$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.14 | 466 | 37.6%175 W · 291 L | -19.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…f4e0backed Vitality.Bee | 30c | 1,100$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 642 | 47.4%304 W · 338 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Galions | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.48 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed Vitality.Bee | 35c | 862.25$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked Vitality.Bee | 40c | 744.07$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 553 | 47%260 W · 293 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Vitality.Bee | 29c | 634.85$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.02 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Vitality.Bee | 29c | 583.65$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.26 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Vitality.Bee | 29c | 499.93$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.98 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Vitality.Bee | 27c | 456.02$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.73 | 1,399 | 43.7%612 W · 787 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Galions | 73c | 411.64$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.64 | 468 | 46.8%219 W · 249 L | -23.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Galions | 65c | 392.47$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.18 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Galions | 71c | 357.14$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.57 | 498 | 47.2%235 W · 263 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Vitality.Bee | 20c | 350$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 376 | 33.5%126 W · 250 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Vitality.Bee | 29c | 322.17$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 242 | 35.5%86 W · 156 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Vitality.Bee | 24c | 301.97$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.19 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Vitality.Bee | 22c | 278.75$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.69 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Vitality.Bee | 29c | 266.78$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.25 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed Galions | 72c | 265$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.95 | 867 | 58.1%504 W · 363 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…5fa2backed Vitality.Bee | 31c | 231.63$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.11 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…9896backed Vitality.Bee | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.59 | 506 | 46%233 W · 273 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Vitality.Bee | 39c | 184.34$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.31 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Vitality.Bee | 23c | 173.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 732 | 37.7%276 W · 456 L | -51.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Vitality.Bee | 25c | 172.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Vitality.Bee | 24c | 171.32$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.96 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7a…a930backed Vitality.Bee | 30c | 150$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c82…5a52backed Galions | 71c | 149.3$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.3 | 316 | 61.1%193 W · 123 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Galions | 67c | 130.74$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Vitality.Bee | 29c | 124$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 487 | 47%229 W · 258 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Galions | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +30%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Vitality.Bee | 20c | 105$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Galions | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Vitality.Bee | 30c | 83.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 422 | 50%211 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Galions | 68c | 78.84$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c6…ff7dbacked Vitality.Bee | 30c | 75.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 230 | 23%53 W · 177 L | -19.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Galions | 63c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x970f…f167backed Galions | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Vitality.Bee | 26c | 57.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Galions | 63c | 51.59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 476 | 30.7%146 W · 330 L | -13.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e8…ef2bbacked Galions | 68c | 51.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 645 | 56.6%365 W · 280 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Vitality.Bee | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 429 | 41.5%178 W · 251 L | -24.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Vitality.Bee | 36c | 48.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked Galions | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 843 | 60.1%507 W · 336 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b37…039dbacked Vitality.Bee | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed Galions | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1,247 | 52.8%659 W · 588 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Galions | 58c | 39.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…1bfebacked Galions | 71c | 35.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 251 | 65.7%165 W · 86 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Galions | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +16.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked Galions | 71c | 34.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x787d…aecdbacked Galions | 71c | 29.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 116 | 63.8%74 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d33…1192backed Vitality.Bee | 41c | 29.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…0e0bbacked Vitality.Bee | 36c | 28.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed Galions | 70c | 28.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 237 | 48.5%115 W · 122 L | -15.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Galions | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…ced8backed Galions | 68c | 22.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 323 | 71.2%230 W · 93 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…af56backed Galions | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…d6d0backed Galions | 71c | 21.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Galions | 66c | 20.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 390 | 56.4%220 W · 170 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Galions | 63c | 17.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbe…9fb7backed Galions | 70c | 15.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 182 | 55.5%101 W · 81 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Vitality.Bee vs Galions - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs Vitality.Bee (+1.5)Galions won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Vitality.Bee vs Galions (BO3) - LFL PlayoffsGalions won
- LoL: Vitality.Bee vs Galions - Game 1 WinnerGalions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.