Tennis · resolved market
Jiujiang: Aoran Wang vs Alex Bolt
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x913742e0f89758a841ed2d8555c4b8378bccce7da6b7457c76d2bdab688e5a49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alex Boltof Aoran Wang, Alex Bolt
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,249
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,249 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01fa…cea7backed Aoran Wang | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 327 | 35.5%116 W · 211 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Aoran Wang | 7c | 1,418$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 307 | 44.6%137 W · 170 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Aoran Wang | 9c | 914.49$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Aoran Wang | 9c | 780.44$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.73 | 289 | 33.2%96 W · 193 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Aoran Wang | 42c | 743.41$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.74 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…377ebacked Aoran Wang | 8c | 720.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 249 | 18.5%46 W · 203 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Aoran Wang | 5c | 700$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Aoran Wang | 5c | 542.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…ed83backed Aoran Wang | 8c | 530.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…06afbacked Aoran Wang | 9c | 524.95$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Aoran Wang | 5c | 497.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d68…4354backed Aoran Wang | 28c | 492.68$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.68 | 217 | 42.9%93 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ff…6672backed Aoran Wang | 6c | 366.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 155 | 12.9%20 W · 135 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x202f…7b58backed Alex Bolt | 66c | 362.61$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.66 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Aoran Wang | 4c | 320.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Aoran Wang | 10c | 308.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.84 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef3…df7fbacked Aoran Wang | 8c | 290.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 108 | 16.7%18 W · 90 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x274e…1d72backed Aoran Wang | 6c | 248.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 20cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfc…521fbacked Alex Bolt | 61c | 212.54$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.63 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x669c…2634backed Alex Bolt | 55c | 212.06$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Aoran Wang | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Aoran Wang | 9c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef6…38b5backed Alex Bolt | 54c | 102.1$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Alex Bolt | 61c | 86.92$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Aoran Wang | 33c | 68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Alex Bolt | 52c | 35.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc59…ab59backed Alex Bolt | 62c | 30.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…71e0backed Alex Bolt | 62c | 18.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.