Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91796f24b86b642f250f197944f8d69f8aa78f85cb0aa0c9a986b270ab358978
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,329
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,313
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,329 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 23c | 1,017$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.57 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 18c | 672.22$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 55c | 525.05$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.34 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 78c | 244.13$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.42 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…0c2cbacked Yes | 15c | 230.76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.76 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Yes | 10c | 200.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.5 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 19c | 160.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…73e0backed Yes | 10c | 150.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.5 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 20c | 132.69$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 18c | 103.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed No | 16c | 98.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Yes | 18c | 79.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.18 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 63c | 76.53$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -14.9wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 18c | 71.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 21c | 68.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.98 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 78c | 67.93$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 79c | 66.3$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 80c | 55.05$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 79c | 54.76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.26 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 19c | 52.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2116…eb8fbacked No | 31c | 44.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 80c | 30.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 52c | 30.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 80c | 18.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 80c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 77c | 16.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…77e9backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will FC Groningen vs. SBV Excelsior end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Groningen win on 2026-05-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.