Tennis · resolved market
Lille: Vitaliy Sachko vs Titouan Droguet
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91cacf91e34118f40a1261d46a67ad0b02e23dd1ce43ac2fc82eb98e16787c24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Droguetof Sachko, Droguet
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Sachko | 2c | 3,009$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.45 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Sachko | 11c | 2,698$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.69 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sachko | 8c | 2,571$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.56 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f9…cd95backed Droguet | 78c | 2,000$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Sachko | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Sachko | 3c | 983.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Droguet | 79c | 908.25$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.25 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Sachko | 26c | 793.03$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.22 | 261 | 31.4%82 W · 179 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…189dbacked Droguet | 75c | 497.95$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.21 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Sachko | 26c | 436.25$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.42 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…df85backed Sachko | 29c | 349.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Droguet | 76c | 277.72$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.65 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Sachko | 26c | 258.86$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.49 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Sachko | 5c | 234.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Sachko | 19c | 227.82$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.67 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sachko | 10c | 205.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Sachko | 21c | 199.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Sachko | 24c | 189.72$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.53 | 231 | 26%60 W · 171 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c17…de2bbacked Droguet | 79c | 167.81$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Sachko | 8c | 151.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Droguet | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…db14backed Droguet | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 188 | 63.8%120 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Droguet | 78c | 109$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Sachko | 28c | 108.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Sachko | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Droguet | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Droguet | 78c | 71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Sachko | 23c | 68.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Droguet | 73c | 68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…6539backed Sachko | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Droguet | 73c | 60.6$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…a929backed Sachko | 33c | 58.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c10…5796backed Droguet | 75c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabe0…5adbbacked Droguet | 75c | 34.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 331 | 63.7%211 W · 120 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…5bd6backed Droguet | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 144 | 75%108 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Droguet | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef96…54dfbacked Droguet | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…5b3abacked Droguet | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.