TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Team to Take First Corner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Portugalof Portugal, Uzbekistan
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,806
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,861

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,806 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x33bc…37dcbacked Uzbekistan20c733.25$147 inLost-$146.651,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaab1…9678backed Portugal80c500$400 inWon+$1006070%42 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Portugal75c273.13$205 inWon+$68.2833555.5%186 W · 149 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ad1…8f0ebacked Portugal79c254.52$200 inWon+$54.522860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6216…1bd4backed Uzbekistan22c149.99$33 inLost-$3323741.8%99 W · 138 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked Uzbekistan21c147.52$31 inLost-$30.9818848.9%92 W · 96 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb502…9d8bbacked Portugal80c125.15$100 inWon+$25.1523951.9%124 W · 115 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7921…bbc3backed Portugal80c100.6$80 inWon+$20.1224140.2%97 W · 144 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4de2…1d6fbacked Portugal73c92.59$68 inWon+$2511349.6%56 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e89…5ec5backed Uzbekistan25c80$20 inLost-$2016935.5%60 W · 109 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7853…6085backed Uzbekistan25c80$20 inLost-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3439…930fbacked Uzbekistan27c61.73$17 inLost-$16.672040%8 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Portugal78c48.86$38 inWon+$10.758,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91fb…4aa6backed Uzbekistan25c40$10 inLost-$10520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55ab…b685backed Uzbekistan25c40$10 inLost-$10450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+32.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked Portugal77c38.33$29 inWon+$8.945472.9%331 W · 123 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Portugal76c28.84$22 inWon+$6.922,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Portugal74c25.58$19 inWon+$6.652,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xabe1…af91backed Portugal80c12.96$10 inWon+$2.6310047%47 W · 53 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.