TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal O/U 6.5 Corners

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,115
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,781

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,115 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x158d…9c64backed Over56c3,058$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70013454.5%73 W · 61 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under48c1,748$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.894,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over53c1,459$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.8936247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under44c1,212$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.7177845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb817…bdc7backed Under55c985.22$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.54751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under50c897.32$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.891,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under43c734.2$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.51,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under49c703.33$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.052,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacea…8b97backed Over59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29515147%71 W · 80 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6fa…546bbacked Over54c498.28$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26813754.7%75 W · 62 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under45c471.26$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.123,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over40c444.68$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.411,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x655c…1a00backed Under45c402.15$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.664261.9%26 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf00c…efc3backed Over57c351.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002540%10 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Under55c333.66$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.1787837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under46c320.18$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.936250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under46c299.97$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.671,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Under45c299.96$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.981,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under45c277$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.352,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5ba…a64bbacked Under48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.332630.8%8 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Under46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.4377051.3%395 W · 375 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0422…ae21backed Over55c200$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1096045%27 W · 33 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9b97…6a09backed Under50c196.14$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.153568.6%24 W · 11 L+7.5wins+0.22per pick47cpaid+36.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed Over53c192.26$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.716165.8%106 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under46c190$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.637959.1%224 W · 155 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over50c188.6$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.838,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b22…59b5backed Over53c170.04$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.121513.3%2 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.25per pick38cpaid-73.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under54c166.47$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.3879149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over49c137$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.512,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcff1…f8debacked Over55c127.27$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709131.9%29 W · 62 L+0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Over12c120$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.451458.8%302 W · 212 L+25.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over55c95$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2521840.8%89 W · 129 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7117…8858backed Over55c82.75$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.51650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed Over54c80$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.26637.9%25 W · 41 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Under54c71.5$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0148055.2%265 W · 215 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Over57c70.38$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4047049.4%232 W · 238 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x898f…e9f2backed Over55c69.27$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386852.9%36 W · 32 L+6.5wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5cd7…7842backed Over55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018436.4%67 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa10…065abacked Over68c50.14$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.199654.2%52 W · 44 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under47c42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2625948.6%126 W · 133 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e62…79f1backed Under46c40.91$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0926449.2%130 W · 134 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38e9…736dbacked Over53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2029766.7%198 W · 99 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7116…562abacked Over53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020339.4%80 W · 123 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under48c35$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.22,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77b8…e82abacked Over53c35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.555747.4%27 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8812…c41abacked Under45c30.72$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.945254.6%247 W · 205 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over48c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.41,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5f2b…27debacked Over67c29.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204753.2%25 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under46c29$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.81,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1506…e79ebacked Over54c27.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520049%98 W · 102 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over45c22.2$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.042,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa43c…08a7backed Over52c19.43$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.22171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6eb2…951bbacked Over72c15.28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117255.6%40 W · 32 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.