Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 80°F or higher on March 6?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x924d51f7ff2e2282c0ca0624c2034332879a17de38ed8abbd7e9ece27daef496
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,015 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e7f…44d4backed No | 1c | 11,392$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.37 | 249 | 66.7%166 W · 83 L | +15.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9fa…d002backed No | 21c | 4,050$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x716d…42a7backed No | 1c | 1,877$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c02…eb5ebacked Yes | 79c | 1,400$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cf…0dd7backed Yes | 79c | 1,330$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd0…c466backed Yes | 79c | 1,320$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…42e6backed No | 10c | 824.55$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.72 | 597 | 42%251 W · 346 L | +96.8wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1236…78bebacked No | 25c | 588.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.86 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a42…8da8backed No | 27c | 430.36$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.7 | 388 | 40.7%158 W · 230 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked Yes | 76c | 362.6$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.49 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99cb…4bc2backed Yes | 78c | 357.02$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa96a…1377backed No | 58c | 339.98$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.06 | 541 | 43.6%236 W · 305 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 20c | 326.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc03…3c05backed No | 25c | 302.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.43 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e36…70e3backed No | 21c | 299.96$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 66c | 278.1$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.57 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 79c | 266.16$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.04 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 57c | 259.68$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.69 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 68c | 229.43$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.73 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…15c2backed Yes | 78c | 179.95$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 173 | 64.7%112 W · 61 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…56cabacked No | 28c | 178.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed No | 46c | 175$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 72c | 160$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.88 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6e…5e73backed Yes | 60c | 141.81$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.56 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…79b6backed Yes | 72c | 134.76$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 86 | 65.1%56 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…c619backed Yes | 75c | 133.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 75 | 76%57 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7919…ca3fbacked No | 53c | 121.3$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.29 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 24c | 118.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…a709backed Yes | 32c | 114$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.52 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x367b…b354backed No | 22c | 107$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d0…a9f8backed No | 22c | 106.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0645…c08ebacked Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…8bb7backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 21c | 99.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b00…a676backed No | 22c | 97.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f7…2073backed No | 16c | 93.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 59c | 93.15$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.15 | 335 | 35.2%118 W · 217 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 31c | 89.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0d…4ed5backed Yes | 79c | 89.4$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -6.0wins | -0.21per pick | 72cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 60c | 84.61$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.01 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47af…3999backed No | 38c | 80.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcf…503fbacked No | 31c | 73.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 70c | 72.45$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 584 | 22.8%133 W · 451 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4f…8fbcbacked No | 21c | 71.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…fe21backed Yes | 71c | 67.75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 72cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Yes | 53c | 67.42$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.64 | 135 | 23%31 W · 104 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x449d…e576backed No | 20c | 67.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8d…038bbacked Yes | 79c | 66.67$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 294 | 69.7%205 W · 89 L | +26.7wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 52c | 66.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.75 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…a96cbacked Yes | 60c | 66.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 810 | 29.1%236 W · 574 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca5…9ababacked No | 20c | 65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 94 | 34%32 W · 62 L | -10.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 39c | 63.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,002 | 60.9%610 W · 392 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb616…0086backed Yes | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 164 | 34.1%56 W · 108 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…4ff1backed No | 22c | 58.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 295 | 58%171 W · 124 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2938…cce8backed No | 46c | 56.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4c…02e5backed No | 25c | 55.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…fb31backed Yes | 77c | 54.9$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 169 | 44.4%75 W · 94 L | +18.5wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 43c | 54.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 21c | 50.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…8920backed Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…47c1backed Yes | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 418 | 45.2%189 W · 229 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9be2…cba5backed Yes | 79c | 49.67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 74cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeccd…d100backed No | 28c | 49.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 131 | 22.1%29 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b8…d44cbacked Yes | 49c | 48.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6c…d8cdbacked Yes | 78c | 45.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 73 | 75.3%55 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b6…aa2bbacked Yes | 78c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ac…5b03backed No | 43c | 43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb05c…f02fbacked Yes | 58c | 42.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3111…76f8backed Yes | 48c | 42.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4498…c984backed No | 50c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e76…65bdbacked No | 24c | 41.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae92…329ebacked No | 24c | 41.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 497 | 50.3%250 W · 247 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked Yes | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6aa…e302backed Yes | 78c | 39.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee24…002ebacked Yes | 78c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x531e…a7b3backed Yes | 78c | 38.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2b…1d37backed Yes | 48c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -48%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66aa…5203backed Yes | 56c | 35.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc8…2389backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 171 | 56.7%97 W · 74 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed2…ad97backed No | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fde…87cebacked Yes | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…84d5backed Yes | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 97 | 78.4%76 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…ae21backed Yes | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 353 | 62.9%222 W · 131 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd6…9c2fbacked No | 42c | 29.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e70…50ebbacked Yes | 77c | 28.09$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 315 | 67%211 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f2…03afbacked Yes | 58c | 27.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…b5f2backed No | 51c | 27.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 133 | 60.9%81 W · 52 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…95a1backed Yes | 74c | 27.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade1…9040backed Yes | 74c | 27.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 338 | 39.9%135 W · 203 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…3587backed Yes | 76c | 26.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 273 | 76.6%209 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 76cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c1…9615backed Yes | 76c | 26.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34b9…fc5cbacked Yes | 58c | 26.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7943…27a1backed Yes | 72c | 26.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 320 | 44.7%143 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf618…6a90backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd559…afc4backed Yes | 78c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa078…7e6abacked Yes | 78c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 80°F or higher on March 6?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 65°F or below on March 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on March 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 6?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.