Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Washington Huskies vs. Baylor Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x926ea8aff4f41189c1a916f16fd8d60a463d00ef8138aca2416eddeb4f022524
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baylor Bearsof Washington Huskies, Baylor Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,842
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,842 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Washington Huskies | 32c | 4,649$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.53 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Baylor Bears | 68c | 3,093$2,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.72 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Baylor Bears | 70c | 1,716$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.87 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Baylor Bears | 72c | 918$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.64 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Washington Huskies | 28c | 878$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.84 | 151 | 24.5%37 W · 114 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Washington Huskies | 11c | 714.3$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.41 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Washington Huskies | 8c | 418.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Baylor Bears | 70c | 355$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1334…3c35backed Baylor Bears | 71c | 345.07$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Washington Huskies | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -50%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Washington Huskies | 30c | 139.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa798…4240backed Washington Huskies | 35c | 114.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Washington Huskies | 9c | 107.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Baylor Bears | 67c | 107$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.31 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8147…ab6cbacked Washington Huskies | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Washington Huskies | 39c | 103$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Washington Huskies | 29c | 85.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 132 | 27.3%36 W · 96 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Baylor Bears | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9492…1f25backed Washington Huskies | 20c | 69.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Washington Huskies | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 254 | 38.2%97 W · 157 L | -14.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Baylor Bears | 69c | 59.52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.