Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: PS (-2.5) vs Lupus Esports (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9271419f2a136f3c62641daf842c3c14a089c5cf050f3ac3d585be3822b5e16e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Partizan Sangalof Partizan Sangal, Lupus Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,798 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90c8…9cafbacked Partizan Sangal | 71c | 3,006$2,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf34a…710cbacked Lupus Esports | 28c | 1,339$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…71b4backed Lupus Esports | 28c | 1,074$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked Partizan Sangal | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked Lupus Esports | 30c | 872.19$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.47 | 288 | 37.5%108 W · 180 L | -16.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Lupus Esports | 48c | 729$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.92 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Partizan Sangal | 74c | 512.5$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.44 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Lupus Esports | 27c | 462.2$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.65 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Lupus Esports | 19c | 333$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.51 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…5ea8backed Partizan Sangal | 54c | 306.99$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | +14.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Lupus Esports | 48c | 270$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc76a…d0abbacked Partizan Sangal | 70c | 264.38$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Lupus Esports | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 362 | 46.4%168 W · 194 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff7…4176backed Lupus Esports | 29c | 174.89$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.23 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Lupus Esports | 20c | 132$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Partizan Sangal | 73c | 88.85$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Partizan Sangal | 56c | 37.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 549 | 44.4%244 W · 305 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Lupus Esports | 39c | 28.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: PS (-2.5) vs Lupus Esports (+2.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- LoL: Partizan Sangal vs Lupus Esports (BO5) - EBL PlayoffsPartizan Sangal won
- LoL: Partizan Sangal vs Lupus Esports - Game 1 WinnerPartizan Sangal won
- LoL: Partizan Sangal vs Lupus Esports - Game 2 WinnerPartizan Sangal won
- LoL: Partizan Sangal vs Lupus Esports - Game 3 WinnerPartizan Sangal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.