TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

ITF Laval: Maxime St-Hilaire vs Alexandre Bergeron

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Maxime St-Hilaireof Maxime St-Hilaire, Alexandre Bergeron
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$28,226
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,820

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,226 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c8e…a316backed Maxime St-Hilaire56c13,546$7,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,979.034047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Maxime St-Hilaire57c4,412$2,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,895.34,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Alexandre Bergeron46c3,500$1,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6103,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Alexandre Bergeron42c3,196$1,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,342.024,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Alexandre Bergeron49c3,064$1,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,488.464,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Alexandre Bergeron43c2,656$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.7456827.3%155 W · 413 L+23.1wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x108d…b85dbacked Alexandre Bergeron48c1,258$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.662157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Alexandre Bergeron42c1,197$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.466,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Alexandre Bergeron47c851.68$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.291,33746%615 W · 722 L+23.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Alexandre Bergeron40c684.43$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.371,23446.3%571 W · 663 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Maxime St-Hilaire51c554.68$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.714,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Maxime St-Hilaire56c496.77$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.035,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc07d…b1dfbacked Alexandre Bergeron21c439.09$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.212,38355.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L+49.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Maxime St-Hilaire58c432.78$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.458,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Alexandre Bergeron36c313.3$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.5921447.2%101 W · 113 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Alexandre Bergeron42c273$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.572755.6%404 W · 323 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Alexandre Bergeron35c272.5$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3475350.5%380 W · 373 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9dd…13a2backed Alexandre Bergeron47c255.32$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12024557.6%141 W · 104 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Alexandre Bergeron42c250$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051,41745.2%640 W · 777 L+41.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked Alexandre Bergeron47c202.13$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9587854.7%480 W · 398 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74f9…6024backed Alexandre Bergeron42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8456153.7%301 W · 260 L+19.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Alexandre Bergeron38c195.14$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.631,27661%778 W · 498 L+27.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked Alexandre Bergeron40c164$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6829551.5%152 W · 143 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac1a…8689backed Alexandre Bergeron40c163$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6327550.2%138 W · 137 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Alexandre Bergeron38c162$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.2556153.7%301 W · 260 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Alexandre Bergeron42c149.52$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.81,77648.6%863 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc19…31c4backed Maxime St-Hilaire56c135.39$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.0632546.2%150 W · 175 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Maxime St-Hilaire55c127.61$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.421,82241%747 W · 1,075 L-30.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcdf…9436backed Alexandre Bergeron45c106.67$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e69…553abacked Alexandre Bergeron47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5092355.8%515 W · 408 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66ac…5e75backed Alexandre Bergeron47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5094255.8%526 W · 416 L+19.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Alexandre Bergeron43c96.65$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9243552.9%230 W · 205 L+0.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Maxime St-Hilaire71c79.63$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.481,62949%798 W · 831 L-51.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98db…bf6cbacked Maxime St-Hilaire57c75.4$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.362254.5%12 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88a9…e618backed Alexandre Bergeron47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3092554.8%507 W · 418 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x113f…ae4dbacked Alexandre Bergeron32c60.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5319744.7%88 W · 109 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Alexandre Bergeron46c51.87$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8140350.6%204 W · 199 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bbf…49c1backed Alexandre Bergeron27c51.17$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.714852%77 W · 71 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ece…3b9bbacked Maxime St-Hilaire52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2415966%105 W · 54 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50dc…b61abacked Alexandre Bergeron48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2427530.2%83 W · 192 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Maxime St-Hilaire71c47$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.622552%117 W · 108 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5a3…5b70backed Alexandre Bergeron28c45.65$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136432.8%21 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bef…5f5dbacked Maxime St-Hilaire58c40.92$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.113965.5%91 W · 48 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+7.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Alexandre Bergeron43c35.86$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.655149.7%274 W · 277 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Alexandre Bergeron40c34.77$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1465259.4%387 W · 265 L+31.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1fd6…d4a0backed Maxime St-Hilaire44c34.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.211244.6%50 W · 62 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Maxime St-Hilaire55c30.07$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5390152.3%471 W · 430 L-2.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Maxime St-Hilaire45c29.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.491,58847%746 W · 842 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Maxime St-Hilaire56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7139451.3%202 W · 192 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Maxime St-Hilaire55c18.33$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2565346.4%303 W · 350 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Maxime St-Hilaire66c15.15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.189663.7%571 W · 325 L+63.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.