Cricket · resolved market
T20 Series Hong Kong vs Kuwait: Hong Kong, China vs Kuwait
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92f86f928bedf86f24d63423e037a570c02aebe1c11a086a1b3562e2f1336926
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hong Kong, Chinaof Hong Kong, China, Kuwait
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,948
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,208
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,948 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1346…0448backed Kuwait | 2c | 4,408$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.96 | 310 | 27.4%85 W · 225 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Kuwait | 1c | 3,143$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.66 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed Kuwait | 1c | 2,707$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 327 | 15.9%52 W · 275 L | +14.4wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…4b30backed Kuwait | 12c | 1,708$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.07 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Kuwait | 33c | 1,254$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.65 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfecd…e7ebbacked Kuwait | 12c | 1,043$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.61 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Hong Kong, China | 58c | 1,019$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.78 | 510 | 47.6%243 W · 267 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Kuwait | 19c | 1,009$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.21 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | +16.9wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Kuwait | 41c | 923.05$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.29 | 767 | 51.6%396 W · 371 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Kuwait | 11c | 898.71$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.17 | 682 | 31.2%213 W · 469 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fde…095bbacked Hong Kong, China | 71c | 839.37$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.24 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6a40backed Kuwait | 22c | 611.67$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.79 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45e…605fbacked Hong Kong, China | 76c | 600$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8907…155ebacked Kuwait | 53c | 271.7$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5987…e287backed Kuwait | 56c | 235.96$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.48 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Hong Kong, China | 46c | 229$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.67 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Kuwait | 34c | 192.33$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.84 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Hong Kong, China | 42c | 181$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.71 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1edd…be0fbacked Hong Kong, China | 45c | 174.39$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 114 | 24.6%28 W · 86 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Kuwait | 12c | 172.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Hong Kong, China | 58c | 161.69$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.17 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Hong Kong, China | 42c | 150$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.41 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Kuwait | 14c | 116.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Kuwait | 27c | 113.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbee8…d0f0backed Kuwait | 11c | 113.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Hong Kong, China | 44c | 113$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.01 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Kuwait | 34c | 109.49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Kuwait | 46c | 107.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef73…7db3backed Hong Kong, China | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Kuwait | 18c | 95.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 164 | 16.5%27 W · 137 L | -22.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2c…f012backed Hong Kong, China | 63c | 89.51$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.51 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed Hong Kong, China | 35c | 88$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Kuwait | 31c | 63.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31bf…0082backed Kuwait | 44c | 59.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 288 | 30.2%87 W · 201 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb082…2c98backed Hong Kong, China | 72c | 58.22$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c69…f90dbacked Kuwait | 26c | 52.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Kuwait | 44c | 51.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8277…06d8backed Hong Kong, China | 75c | 46.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Kuwait | 49c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4723…5687backed Hong Kong, China | 56c | 36.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbb…7038backed Kuwait | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33ab…ef42backed Hong Kong, China | 59c | 32.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Kuwait | 41c | 30.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Kuwait | 55c | 28.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b70…7fe2backed Hong Kong, China | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Kuwait | 64c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5713…a086backed Kuwait | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd284…e57bbacked Hong Kong, China | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.