Premier League · resolved market
Will Stoke City FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x931a0781d2687247279bd1af0a96508715097b4692a177a4b4c82d60a4eced62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,714
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,825
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,714 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 47c | 3,019$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,604.39 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 50c | 371.27$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.92 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 46c | 358$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.4 | 773 | 42.8%331 W · 442 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 54c | 346.55$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.44 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 341.23$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.74 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 72c | 300$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 21c | 188.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.57 | 120 | 20.8%25 W · 95 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 29c | 170$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.7 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 28c | 130$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 22c | 121.51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.72 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 53c | 84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 28c | 74.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.61 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…a9c7backed Yes | 33c | 61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…4616backed Yes | 23c | 60$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.1 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 42c | 59.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed No | 51c | 59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 36c | 59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.76 | 734 | 58.6%430 W · 304 L | +47.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 58c | 54.79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 30c | 49.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd85a…1d03backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 55c | 41.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 78c | 40.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 78c | 40.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 40.34$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 41c | 37.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 71c | 31.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 78c | 30.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 300 | 57%171 W · 129 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633b…ff9ebacked No | 71c | 14.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stoke City FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-04-11?No won
- Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-04-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.