Premier League · resolved market
Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96dc8a5a1e29f0a4c8e898c0ecf1fd64ddaf7ff463a4ad968f14da8568dcfd1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,620
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,557
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,620 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 28c | 1,574$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.08 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked No | 67c | 1,402$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.93 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 36c | 738.89$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 20c | 509.08$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.51 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 64c | 405.21$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.88 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 254.3$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.84 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed No | 71c | 210.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.24 | 83 | 75.9%63 W · 20 L | +17.2wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 64c | 192.92$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.48 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 64c | 150.92$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.33 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 11c | 149.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 328 | 22.3%73 W · 255 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3c…a938backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 21c | 68.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 223 | 56.5%126 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 76c | 67.23$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 15c | 66.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 21c | 62.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4799…cf78backed Yes | 37c | 39.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 72c | 38.76$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 212 | 50%106 W · 106 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 36c | 28.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 60c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 68c | 14.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-04-11?No won
- Will Stoke City FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.