Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9355fecc27649811696ae2689740b17cda181d7488349835605735ec3ce20d00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FK Dynama-Minskof SC Braga, FK Dynama-Minsk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,871
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,876
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,871 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed SC Braga | 52c | 3,731$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.01 | 1,611 | 38.8%625 W · 986 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FK Dynama-Minsk | 48c | 2,468$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.36 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed FK Dynama-Minsk | 37c | 1,935$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.95 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked FK Dynama-Minsk | 45c | 847.06$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.79 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed SC Braga | 66c | 701.12$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.74 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed SC Braga | 63c | 682.46$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.42 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked SC Braga | 71c | 300$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked FK Dynama-Minsk | 44c | 245.48$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.47 | 978 | 46.2%452 W · 526 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed FK Dynama-Minsk | 44c | 220.27$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.86 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed FK Dynama-Minsk | 45c | 92.53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.98 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed FK Dynama-Minsk | 54c | 85.27$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed FK Dynama-Minsk | 44c | 80.94$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.15 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed SC Braga | 49c | 80.06$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 771 | 41.8%322 W · 449 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed SC Braga | 68c | 73.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 795 | 54.1%430 W · 365 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed FK Dynama-Minsk | 53c | 69.21$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.82 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0aba…1910backed SC Braga | 73c | 68.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 73cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7345…4b28backed SC Braga | 73c | 68.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 76cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed SC Braga | 69c | 67.06$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.01 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed FK Dynama-Minsk | 31c | 59.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 571 | 49.6%283 W · 288 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed FK Dynama-Minsk | 56c | 57.7$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed SC Braga | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed SC Braga | 69c | 40.1$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked SC Braga | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed SC Braga | 56c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed SC Braga | 60c | 35.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked SC Braga | 71c | 34.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed SC Braga | 66c | 33.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc9…a105backed SC Braga | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 76cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…93f9backed FK Dynama-Minsk | 43c | 23.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1934…474cbacked SC Braga | 72c | 20.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)this page
- SC Braga vs. FK Dynama-Minsk: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SC Braga vs. FK Dynama-Minsk: FK Dynama-Minsk O/U 0.5Under won
- SC Braga vs. FK Dynama-Minsk: FK Dynama-Minsk O/U 1.5Under won
- SC Braga vs. FK Dynama-Minsk: O/U 0.5Over won
- SC Braga vs. FK Dynama-Minsk: O/U 1.5Under won
- SC Braga vs. FK Dynama-Minsk: O/U 2.5Under won
- SC Braga vs. FK Dynama-Minsk: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Braga vs. FK Dynama-Minsk: O/U 4.5Under won
- SC Braga vs. FK Dynama-Minsk: O/U 5.5Under won
- SC Braga vs. FK Dynama-Minsk: SC Braga O/U 0.5Over won
- Spread: SC Braga (-2.5)FK Dynama-Minsk won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.