Europa Conference League · resolved market
SC Braga vs. FK Dynama-Minsk: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x287664c361587a5592e2e800ddc89961f7159311742e3df97d86222762416b57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,617
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,636
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,617 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 61c | 5,402$3,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,268.57 | 658 | 35.6%234 W · 424 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 1,690$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.13 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 26c | 1,369$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.32 | 1,611 | 38.8%625 W · 986 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 52c | 1,297$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.26 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 39c | 775.51$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.81 | 1,046 | 50.2%525 W · 521 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Under | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 39c | 676.44$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.86 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Under | 40c | 625$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 60c | 369$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.4 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0962…6e40backed Over | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2362…2ec5backed Over | 58c | 324.85$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.41 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 40c | 292.05$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.72 | 443 | 56.2%249 W · 194 L | +23.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 39c | 278$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.21 | 387 | 44.4%172 W · 215 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 7c | 253.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 771 | 41.8%322 W · 449 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 39c | 177$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.21 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 39c | 172.65$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.32 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 77c | 172.49$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.62 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 40c | 168.38$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.03 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 40c | 152.03$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.22 | 503 | 54.7%275 W · 228 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 66c | 150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 62c | 87.04$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 67c | 70.27$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 72c | 65.27$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 26c | 43.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 352 | 46.3%163 W · 189 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 40c | 38.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 66c | 35.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 73c | 34.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 67c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d1…dc9fbacked Over | 46c | 23.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 18.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 69c | 17.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…c45ebacked Over | 59c | 17.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 77c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Braga vs. FK Dynama-Minsk: O/U 2.5this page
- SC Braga vs. FK Dynama-Minsk: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SC Braga vs. FK Dynama-Minsk: FK Dynama-Minsk O/U 0.5Under won
- SC Braga vs. FK Dynama-Minsk: FK Dynama-Minsk O/U 1.5Under won
- SC Braga vs. FK Dynama-Minsk: O/U 0.5Over won
- SC Braga vs. FK Dynama-Minsk: O/U 1.5Under won
- SC Braga vs. FK Dynama-Minsk: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Braga vs. FK Dynama-Minsk: O/U 4.5Under won
- SC Braga vs. FK Dynama-Minsk: O/U 5.5Under won
- SC Braga vs. FK Dynama-Minsk: SC Braga O/U 0.5Over won
- Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)FK Dynama-Minsk won
- Spread: SC Braga (-2.5)FK Dynama-Minsk won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.