Europa Conference League · resolved market
SC Braga vs. FK Dynama-Minsk: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77764a7a553224dfea9a7b8727262721a04192a75eec456e7a21ab53462d52f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,627
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,688
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,627 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes | 34c | 4,667$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 32c | 4,457$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.58 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 70c | 1,806$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.64 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 67c | 1,703$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.88 | 662 | 50.6%335 W · 327 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 68c | 1,540$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.75 | 695 | 48.9%340 W · 355 L | +19.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc700…31a1backed No | 68c | 1,293$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 68c | 999.99$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 31c | 948.9$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.16 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 13c | 894.23$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.95 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 33c | 757.93$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 67c | 581.59$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.37 | 1,026 | 47.4%486 W · 540 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 67c | 518.63$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.92 | 1,046 | 50.2%525 W · 521 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 66c | 477.6$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.38 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 68c | 453$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.17 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 67c | 446$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.18 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 31c | 413.79$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.24 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 32c | 384.88$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.08 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked No | 69c | 340$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.4 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 66c | 327.59$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.33 | 371 | 46.4%172 W · 199 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 30c | 317.43$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 658 | 35.6%234 W · 424 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 67c | 315.54$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.13 | 167 | 46.7%78 W · 89 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 68c | 300$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 79c | 246.02$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.13 | 503 | 54.7%275 W · 228 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 67c | 210$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 376 | 46.5%175 W · 201 L | +26.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54e…bdf1backed No | 65c | 133.8$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.83 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…ac08backed No | 65c | 133.8$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.83 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed No | 65c | 83.81$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed No | 79c | 55.67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 31c | 54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 68c | 34.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 571 | 49.6%283 W · 288 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Braga vs. FK Dynama-Minsk: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- SC Braga vs. FK Dynama-Minsk: FK Dynama-Minsk O/U 0.5Under won
- SC Braga vs. FK Dynama-Minsk: FK Dynama-Minsk O/U 1.5Under won
- SC Braga vs. FK Dynama-Minsk: O/U 0.5Over won
- SC Braga vs. FK Dynama-Minsk: O/U 1.5Under won
- SC Braga vs. FK Dynama-Minsk: O/U 2.5Under won
- SC Braga vs. FK Dynama-Minsk: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Braga vs. FK Dynama-Minsk: O/U 4.5Under won
- SC Braga vs. FK Dynama-Minsk: O/U 5.5Under won
- SC Braga vs. FK Dynama-Minsk: SC Braga O/U 0.5Over won
- Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)FK Dynama-Minsk won
- Spread: SC Braga (-2.5)FK Dynama-Minsk won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.