Tennis · resolved market
Geneva Open, Qualification: Henry Bernet vs Francisco Comesana
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x936e811b1412b438da7fb7641e8205f8f5baf55849e1f41a1236f03b6c79b46b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Francisco Comesanaof Henry Bernet, Francisco Comesana
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,295
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $157,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,295 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Henry Bernet | 12c | 20,512$2,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,482.38 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91c8…a101backed Henry Bernet | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Henry Bernet | 9c | 6,199$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.11 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Henry Bernet | 13c | 4,512$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.16 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Henry Bernet | 13c | 3,226$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.35 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Francisco Comesana | 73c | 2,640$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.34 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Henry Bernet | 14c | 2,584$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.83 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Henry Bernet | 3c | 1,906$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.79 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Henry Bernet | 12c | 1,542$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 204 | 12.7%26 W · 178 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Henry Bernet | 14c | 1,531$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.38 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Henry Bernet | 9c | 1,462$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.51 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Henry Bernet | 27c | 999.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked Henry Bernet | 27c | 999.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 322 | 47.2%152 W · 170 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Henry Bernet | 26c | 926.59$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.91 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Francisco Comesana | 74c | 862.8$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.33 | 410 | 60.5%248 W · 162 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…408dbacked Henry Bernet | 28c | 545.1$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.35 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Henry Bernet | 14c | 414.29$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Henry Bernet | 13c | 308.3$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ff…3214backed Henry Bernet | 25c | 290.94$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.04 | 384 | 22.4%86 W · 298 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Francisco Comesana | 70c | 248.61$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.61 | 725 | 42.6%309 W · 416 L | -20.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Henry Bernet | 15c | 193.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Francisco Comesana | 74c | 162.7$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Henry Bernet | 10c | 140$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Henry Bernet | 28c | 140$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 868 | 35.4%307 W · 561 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf19b…1613backed Francisco Comesana | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 176 | 50.6%89 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Francisco Comesana | 73c | 136.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Henry Bernet | 14c | 133.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 678 | 38.3%260 W · 418 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Henry Bernet | 14c | 125$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 329 | 35%115 W · 214 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Henry Bernet | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Henry Bernet | 13c | 94.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…eda7backed Henry Bernet | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 418 | 46.2%193 W · 225 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ea…9543backed Henry Bernet | 29c | 71.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Henry Bernet | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 129 | 33.3%43 W · 86 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c5…720fbacked Francisco Comesana | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Henry Bernet | 28c | 57.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 516 | 44.8%231 W · 285 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Francisco Comesana | 74c | 57.26$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Henry Bernet | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…a181backed Henry Bernet | 27c | 40.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Henry Bernet | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Francisco Comesana | 74c | 36.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a4…78a2backed Francisco Comesana | 73c | 32.41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…9baebacked Francisco Comesana | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 908 | 54.5%495 W · 413 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.