Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Beşiktaş Esports vs Misa Esports (BO5) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x938df49aed28f4ed12b9be04cfc82acb92431163e06bafc03b6ba45054ed12ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Beşiktaş Esportsof Beşiktaş Esports, Misa Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,381
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,381 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Beşiktaş Esports | 67c | 1,195$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.74 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc236…e3d3backed Beşiktaş Esports | 30c | 1,173$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.99 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Misa Esports | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Misa Esports | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Misa Esports | 50c | 933.11$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.14 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Beşiktaş Esports | 42c | 861.7$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.07 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +12.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Beşiktaş Esports | 61c | 630.9$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.31 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9b…2013backed Misa Esports | 25c | 431.2$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 187 | 35.3%66 W · 121 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Beşiktaş Esports | 64c | 411.11$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.62 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Beşiktaş Esports | 29c | 349.89$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.14 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Misa Esports | 71c | 343.28$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.23 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c0…ae83backed Misa Esports | 77c | 323.67$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Misa Esports | 58c | 245.51$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.21 | 193 | 37.8%73 W · 120 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Beşiktaş Esports | 45c | 239.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.99 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Misa Esports | 11c | 236.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Misa Esports | 54c | 219$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.41 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Beşiktaş Esports | 74c | 218.92$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.29 | 242 | 50.4%122 W · 120 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Misa Esports | 11c | 205$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Misa Esports | 55c | 200.35$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.19 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Beşiktaş Esports | 73c | 196.37$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.45 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Misa Esports | 22c | 143.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Beşiktaş Esports | 55c | 139.25$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.14 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Beşiktaş Esports | 42c | 120$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x382a…aab7backed Beşiktaş Esports | 36c | 108.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.91 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Beşiktaş Esports | 49c | 102.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.24 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Misa Esports | 51c | 97.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Misa Esports | 60c | 94$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.39 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Misa Esports | 52c | 92.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Misa Esports | 57c | 90$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 252 | 45.2%114 W · 138 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Misa Esports | 14c | 82.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 308 | 35.4%109 W · 199 L | -23.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Misa Esports | 55c | 81.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -13.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Beşiktaş Esports | 41c | 80$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed Beşiktaş Esports | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b7…3798backed Misa Esports | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 189 | 52.4%99 W · 90 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Misa Esports | 26c | 56.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 155 | 12.3%19 W · 136 L | -27.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Beşiktaş Esports | 61c | 55.93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Beşiktaş Esports | 46c | 51.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 543 | 42.4%230 W · 313 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Beşiktaş Esports | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | +15.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Misa Esports | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Misa Esports | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Beşiktaş Esports | 68c | 38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Misa Esports | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Beşiktaş Esports | 57c | 27.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed Misa Esports | 71c | 25.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Beşiktaş Esports | 47c | 24.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 175 | 55.4%97 W · 78 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Misa Esports | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed Misa Esports | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Beşiktaş Esports vs Misa Esports (BO5) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Playoffsthis page
- Valorant: Beşiktaş Esports vs Misa Esports - Map 2 WinnerBeşiktaş Esports won
- Valorant: Beşiktaş Esports vs Misa Esports - Map 3 WinnerBeşiktaş Esports won
- Valorant: Beşiktaş Esports vs Misa Esports - Map 4 WinnerBeşiktaş Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.