College Football · resolved market
Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93b8e070e88ee84a8319e1a6108bf04ed61f7fb8b1851bcb11d992f1e8e84ebe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesotaof Nebraska Cornhuskers, Minnesota
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,766
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,766 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 28c | 55,255$15,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,238.2 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Minnesota | 53c | 15,027$7,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,112.96 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 46c | 7,352$3,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,368.96 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Minnesota | 52c | 7,026$3,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,375.68 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Minnesota | 54c | 4,752$2,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,203.01 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Minnesota | 54c | 4,372$2,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,011.2 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 47c | 3,770$1,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,771.9 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…9ed3backed Minnesota | 54c | 2,779$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.7 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba47…c25dbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 47c | 1,960$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9946…a04ebacked Minnesota | 53c | 1,960$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 45c | 1,250$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.49 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Minnesota | 52c | 1,112$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.76 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…ed31backed Minnesota | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc805…760dbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Minnesota | 52c | 900$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…af84backed Minnesota | 53c | 887.53$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272b…c543backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 47c | 887.53$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9925…e33ebacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 45c | 550$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -6.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Minnesota | 55c | 420$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d7…c17bbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 49c | 285.71$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Minnesota | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 174 | 50%87 W · 87 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Minnesota | 54c | 159$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.14 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Minnesota | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f55…535dbacked Minnesota | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc96f…d46bbacked Minnesota | 55c | 87.27$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfd…3462backed Minnesota | 53c | 84.15$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.15 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 46c | 53.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Minnesota | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 241 | 57.3%138 W · 103 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6158…81bcbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…57f1backed Minnesota | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa794…e7d8backed Minnesota | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 47c | 43.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d15…6914backed Minnesota | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…6821backed Minnesota | 54c | 22.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-7.5)this page
- Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. MinnesotaMinnesota won
- Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Minnesota: O/U 47.5Under won
- O/U 46.5Under won
- Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-8.5)Minnesota won
- Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-9.5)Minnesota won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.