Europa Conference League · resolved market
Penybont FC vs. FC Santa Coloma: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93d2fcb9e31243e0131c6a31b2a9192750ae63e26f17c44abed6311104223431
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,433
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,512
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,433 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over | 49c | 6,603$3,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,211.61 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 52c | 2,143$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.6 | 571 | 49.6%283 W · 288 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 52c | 1,677$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.79 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 30c | 1,555$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.67 | 1,611 | 38.8%625 W · 986 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 1,238$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.18 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 52c | 699$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.34 | 662 | 50.6%335 W · 327 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 48c | 683$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.12 | 978 | 46.2%452 W · 526 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 77c | 615$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.23 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 51c | 558.79$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.06 | 695 | 48.9%340 W · 355 L | +19.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 51c | 342.81$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.88 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 55c | 219.16$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.47 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 49c | 175.66$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.17 | 387 | 53%205 W · 182 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 50c | 172.95$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.2 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 49c | 153$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.03 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Under | 49c | 148$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.16 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 48c | 104.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b42…7cbebacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Over | 63c | 95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Over | 51c | 81.12$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.37 | 138 | 39.1%54 W · 84 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 69c | 64.02$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 49c | 61.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Over | 52c | 54.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 48c | 49.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 795 | 54.1%430 W · 365 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Under | 48c | 44.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 49c | 42.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…a02dbacked Over | 49c | 41.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked Under | 51c | 21.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penybont FC vs. FC Santa Coloma: O/U 2.5this page
- Penybont FC vs. FC Santa Coloma: O/U 1.5Under won
- Penybont FC vs. FC Santa Coloma: O/U 3.5Under won
- Penybont FC vs. FC Santa Coloma: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Santa Coloma (-1.5)Penybont FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.