La Liga · resolved market
Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-01-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9427989d6d0c57dd94350be58caa53c74b6ac316e7c61cbb5a6318169d8fa2e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,393
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,577
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,393 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a4c…8138backed Yes | 59c | 5,999$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.74 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 70c | 1,389$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.38 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Yes | 67c | 1,238$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.97 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 34c | 820.04$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.6 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 36c | 772.88$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.42 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked No | 41c | 541.99$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 33c | 354.17$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.88 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 63c | 216.88$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.29 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 79c | 209.4$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -15.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 67c | 200$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.81 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…deffbacked Yes | 37c | 134.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.01 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 65c | 126.13$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.98 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed No | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…2277backed Yes | 36c | 97.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked No | 65c | 94$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 36c | 90$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.84 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5d…e3f4backed Yes | 36c | 83.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.69 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed No | 35c | 82.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -5.7wins | -0.20per pick | 61cpaid | -34%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 35c | 80$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.4 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed No | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 74cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed No | 66c | 66$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 63cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 27c | 60.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed No | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x694c…eb70backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0f…1147backed Yes | 37c | 55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +5.9wins | +0.28per pick | 53cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed No | 65c | 46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 58c | 44.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…fcb4backed Yes | 35c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1f…b254backed Yes | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -11.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 64c | 27.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked No | 65c | 27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 228 | 59.6%136 W · 92 L | +18.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba34…7e93backed No | 66c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed No | 65c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked No | 41c | 24.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 62c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 144 | 62.5%90 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Yes | 69c | 22.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e4…e026backed No | 66c | 20.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Yes | 66c | 16.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked No | 62c | 16.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-01-09?this page
- Will Cádiz CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-01-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.