NHL · resolved market
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9473421dacff151f81c072a70c43ee11f9ff8223f3dc0af5d228279542a4033f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bruinsof Golden Knights, Bruins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,388
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Golden Knights | 44c | 32,081$14,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,115.85 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Bruins | 56c | 18,662$10,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,221.43 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Bruins | 56c | 5,547$3,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,440.68 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Bruins | 56c | 4,458$2,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,961.52 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Golden Knights | 1c | 3,624$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | +29.4wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Bruins | 56c | 2,984$1,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.8 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Golden Knights | 42c | 1,991$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.46 | 182 | 62.1%113 W · 69 L | +15.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Bruins | 54c | 1,149$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.38 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Golden Knights | 46c | 1,113$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bruins | 56c | 1,095$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.07 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Golden Knights | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Golden Knights | 43c | 716.75$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.78 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fb…19c0backed Bruins | 22c | 613.64$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.64 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +115.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Golden Knights | 46c | 599.47$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.22 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Bruins | 54c | 217.39$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…20b4backed Golden Knights | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd7…51fcbacked Golden Knights | 46c | 210$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Golden Knights | 44c | 199.38$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.09 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Golden Knights | 46c | 88.75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.83 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Bruins | 54c | 70.75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.54 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Golden Knights | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf98e…25c0backed Golden Knights | 46c | 32.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Bruins | 54c | 27.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2745…055ebacked Golden Knights | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)this page
- Bruins vs. Golden KnightsGolden Knights won
- Bruins vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5Over won
- Bruins vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.