Tennis · resolved market
ITF Koksijde: Federica Urgesi vs Amelie Van Impe
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9490501242559c6b39332d9f693186c2b1f8068c6bddd857f97f85ad2ac7c830
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Federica Urgesiof Federica Urgesi, Amelie Van Impe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,004
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Amelie Van Impe | 33c | 1,044$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.71 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Federica Urgesi | 77c | 930.66$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.75 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Amelie Van Impe | 35c | 606.92$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.21 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Amelie Van Impe | 4c | 275.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6e…1914backed Amelie Van Impe | 4c | 270.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Amelie Van Impe | 46c | 234.47$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.43 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Amelie Van Impe | 24c | 218.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Federica Urgesi | 70c | 152.07$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.48 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Federica Urgesi | 66c | 123.89$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.26 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Amelie Van Impe | 35c | 115.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Federica Urgesi | 71c | 109.26$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.07 | 277 | 49.1%136 W · 141 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Amelie Van Impe | 29c | 99.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed Federica Urgesi | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 398 | 44.2%176 W · 222 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Amelie Van Impe | 30c | 89.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Federica Urgesi | 45c | 82.26$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.24 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…ac24backed Federica Urgesi | 53c | 80.79$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Amelie Van Impe | 58c | 73.86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Federica Urgesi | 67c | 72.41$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Federica Urgesi | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Federica Urgesi | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…b4a5backed Federica Urgesi | 77c | 67.66$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 549 | 55.2%303 W · 246 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Federica Urgesi | 55c | 59.61$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 323 | 29.7%96 W · 227 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb11a…a5d9backed Federica Urgesi | 59c | 59.57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Amelie Van Impe | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Federica Urgesi | 74c | 49.53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Amelie Van Impe | 23c | 47.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ec…931dbacked Federica Urgesi | 42c | 47.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 433 | 36.7%159 W · 274 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdef1…e893backed Federica Urgesi | 47c | 45.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Amelie Van Impe | 38c | 39.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03dd…49c8backed Federica Urgesi | 43c | 38.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 468 | 51.5%241 W · 227 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Federica Urgesi | 75c | 37.17$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Amelie Van Impe | 33c | 36.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Amelie Van Impe | 35c | 33.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Federica Urgesi | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf2…898ebacked Amelie Van Impe | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Federica Urgesi | 76c | 25.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 375 | 47.2%177 W · 198 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Federica Urgesi | 75c | 24.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 394 | 46.7%184 W · 210 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Amelie Van Impe | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…2d2ebacked Federica Urgesi | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…46febacked Federica Urgesi | 59c | 19.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 34cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Federica Urgesi | 74c | 19.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.