Tennis · resolved market
ITF Darmstadt: Mathilde Lollia vs Anouck Vrancken Peeters
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95591b1c7e1046558ded23f36e67bf9a1809bf74b1f884e3d57631a8efb14377
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mathilde Lolliaof Mathilde Lollia, Anouck Vrancken Peeters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,735
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,663
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,735 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Mathilde Lollia | 38c | 26,513$10,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,423.83 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Anouck Vrancken Peeters | 62c | 21,162$13,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,103.86 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Anouck Vrancken Peeters | 40c | 2,740$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.15 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Anouck Vrancken Peeters | 76c | 785.71$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 378 | 49.2%186 W · 192 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Anouck Vrancken Peeters | 20c | 413.7$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.74 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Mathilde Lollia | 36c | 325.33$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.68 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Anouck Vrancken Peeters | 74c | 140.63$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.54 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Anouck Vrancken Peeters | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…492cbacked Anouck Vrancken Peeters | 74c | 136.05$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.68 | 179 | 72.6%130 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7f…6b36backed Mathilde Lollia | 27c | 106$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.38 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Anouck Vrancken Peeters | 77c | 64.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 377 | 76.1%287 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Anouck Vrancken Peeters | 59c | 63.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Mathilde Lollia | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed Anouck Vrancken Peeters | 53c | 58.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Mathilde Lollia | 32c | 53.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Mathilde Lollia | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 398 | 51%203 W · 195 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Mathilde Lollia | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 300 | 55.7%167 W · 133 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Anouck Vrancken Peeters | 62c | 44.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 244 | 60.2%147 W · 97 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2721…cf8abacked Anouck Vrancken Peeters | 63c | 33.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Anouck Vrancken Peeters | 57c | 31.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Anouck Vrancken Peeters | 61c | 30.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03bf…24b9backed Mathilde Lollia | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 132 | 76.5%101 W · 31 L | +13.9wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Anouck Vrancken Peeters | 61c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Mathilde Lollia | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Anouck Vrancken Peeters | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.