Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x955ba0a062398c34679683b073809bb1f5e4c182c9eb21f71bdd73307d8e77d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,648
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,736
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,648 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa94…3601backed Yes | 32c | 540.39$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.07 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 29c | 454.6$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.91 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked Yes | 42c | 434.59$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.29 | 517 | 33.3%172 W · 345 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 8c | 371.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 67c | 286.34$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.17 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 68c | 226$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.68 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed No | 68c | 187.38$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.42 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 68c | 187.07$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.37 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 31c | 176.19$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.99 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 33c | 153.1$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked No | 60c | 148.93$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.36 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 56c | 146.92$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.93 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 69c | 143.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.81 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 21c | 130.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 539 | 25.6%138 W · 401 L | -18.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 34c | 120.41$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 70c | 115.68$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.54 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1128…f7edbacked No | 78c | 102.26$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.95 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 62c | 91.68$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.1 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d07…2b94backed No | 67c | 89.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.64 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 44c | 89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.09 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 66c | 88.04$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.17 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 31c | 83.85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 73c | 79.97$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 78c | 78.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 75c | 75.8$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 1,090 | 74.2%809 W · 281 L | +179.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 40c | 75.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.89 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…3afcbacked Yes | 32c | 59.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.74 | 204 | 38.7%79 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 59c | 59.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4c…8c1fbacked Yes | 26c | 57.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.62 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked Yes | 38c | 57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd212…5182backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…7f31backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 353 | 44.5%157 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf93…5d2abacked No | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x680a…0a15backed Yes | 31c | 49.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.12 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…d1f0backed No | 68c | 48.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 64cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 60c | 44.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd615…ae32backed Yes | 67c | 39.66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 339 | 62.8%213 W · 126 L | +40.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…0988backed No | 48c | 35.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 42c | 35.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…4053backed No | 65c | 34.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 46c | 33.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 66c | 33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 47c | 30.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x188a…9fafbacked No | 51c | 29.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 196 | 62.2%122 W · 74 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 66c | 26.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 65c | 24.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4d…50b1backed No | 71c | 22.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 129 | 72.1%93 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 62c | 21.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…0793backed No | 63c | 20.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 436 | 63.5%277 W · 159 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 63c | 17.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7615…308abacked No | 68c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 184 | 41.3%76 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eab…2caabacked No | 76c | 13.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 445 | 67%298 W · 147 L | +17.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 15?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.