TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Ground Zero Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Ground Zero Gamingof CTBC Flying Oyster, Ground Zero Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,571
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,094

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,571 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x622a…2b59backed CTBC Flying Oyster1c4,535$46 inLost-$46.27352.9%1 W · 34 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick6cpaid+185.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d69…7e98backed CTBC Flying Oyster7c2,103$157 inLost-$157.3718914.8%28 W · 161 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-39.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x674f…4382backed CTBC Flying Oyster5c1,320$65 inLost-$65.011526.7%4 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick15cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed Ground Zero Gaming79c1,228$976 inWon+$252.4194134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Ground Zero Gaming23c999.98$230 inWon+$769.981,05628.5%301 W · 755 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…fadbbacked CTBC Flying Oyster2c990$15 inLost-$152850%14 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed CTBC Flying Oyster74c958.32$709 inLost-$708.983966.7%26 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked CTBC Flying Oyster77c800$616 inLost-$6162,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed CTBC Flying Oyster2c647$16 inLost-$15.941,13030%339 W · 791 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x060d…1094backed CTBC Flying Oyster23c597.01$137 inLost-$137.3120621.8%45 W · 161 L-18.1wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-50.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x68ff…997ebacked CTBC Flying Oyster2c500$10 inLost-$108842%37 W · 51 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe86a…e272backed Ground Zero Gaming75c395.6$295 inWon+$100.624649.2%121 W · 125 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked CTBC Flying Oyster76c372$284 inLost-$284.161,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c2c…3dc9backed CTBC Flying Oyster77c265$204 inLost-$204.051656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Ground Zero Gaming23c229.69$53 inWon+$176.541,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked CTBC Flying Oyster42c227.42$95 inLost-$95.381,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked Ground Zero Gaming68c160.19$109 inWon+$51.191,04846.1%483 W · 565 L-43.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2cdf…cbd9backed CTBC Flying Oyster20c150$30 inLost-$303737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Ground Zero Gaming29c146.28$43 inWon+$103.152,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7301…6b21backed CTBC Flying Oyster77c129.87$100 inLost-$1002556%14 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed CTBC Flying Oyster77c104.22$80 inLost-$8049366.7%329 W · 164 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6690…2da0backed CTBC Flying Oyster11c100$11 inLost-$112634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc19b…a935backed CTBC Flying Oyster68c87$59 inLost-$59.1621937.9%83 W · 136 L-0.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed CTBC Flying Oyster76c80$61 inLost-$60.652,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed CTBC Flying Oyster34c79.29$27 inLost-$27.191,72829.5%509 W · 1,219 L-123.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd395…3731backed Ground Zero Gaming31c65.32$20 inWon+$45.326636.4%24 W · 42 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x968f…2a1fbacked CTBC Flying Oyster77c64.94$50 inLost-$5022646.5%105 W · 121 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked CTBC Flying Oyster76c61.24$47 inLost-$46.552,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Ground Zero Gaming24c56.45$14 inWon+$42.91,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed CTBC Flying Oyster77c45$35 inLost-$34.6543947.6%209 W · 230 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked CTBC Flying Oyster77c45$35 inLost-$34.6545344.6%202 W · 251 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf628…ba6fbacked CTBC Flying Oyster70c31.28$22 inLost-$21.92544%11 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked CTBC Flying Oyster68c20$14 inLost-$13.61,24134.7%431 W · 810 L-2.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed CTBC Flying Oyster75c18.17$14 inLost-$13.6347951.4%246 W · 233 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.