Mls · resolved market
New England Revolution vs. CF Montréal: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9588e7491f6af0ec09b38f2789fdf7a00d7ae9bffeb21a7736245a2062442dbb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,402
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,402 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 289.79$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.36 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 53c | 217.38$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.55 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 56c | 163.55$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.54 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed No | 72c | 138.35$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.35 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c30…d9e5backed Yes | 43c | 117.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Yes | 59c | 104.59$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.71 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…7b16backed Yes | 49c | 101.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf91f…f2ecbacked Yes | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 56c | 53.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…3733backed Yes | 36c | 49.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 54c | 37.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd573…f99ebacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yes | 66c | 33.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Yes | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea77…686ebacked Yes | 55c | 27.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 57c | 26.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 46c | 23.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 51c | 22.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f4…2df9backed Yes | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -9.8wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New England Revolution vs. CF Montréal: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- New England Revolution vs. CF Montréal: O/U 1.5Over won
- New England Revolution vs. CF Montréal: O/U 2.5Over won
- New England Revolution vs. CF Montréal: O/U 3.5Under won
- New England Revolution vs. CF Montréal: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CF Montréal (-1.5)New England Revolution won
- Spread: CF Montréal (-2.5)New England Revolution won
- Spread: New England Revolution (-2.5)New England Revolution won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.