Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Fredericia win on 2026-05-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95e1f1f60000542805b4175e819952bedd367fc2a2f677925d481ce17a7adc81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,399
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,853
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,399 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Yes | 48c | 17,438$8,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,073.75 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 52c | 8,370$4,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,356 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 51c | 2,686$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.47 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 38c | 2,454$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.29 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 46c | 2,368$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.6 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 73c | 2,362$1,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.71 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4e…6478backed No | 45c | 2,224$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.57 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 67c | 1,494$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.07 | 191 | 65.4%125 W · 66 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes | 45c | 1,252$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.44 | 153 | 61.4%94 W · 59 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 51c | 1,205$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.33 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 18c | 1,112$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 98 | 69.4%68 W · 30 L | +16.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 52c | 975.37$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.69 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 12c | 913.39$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.57 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 28c | 859.98$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.34 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 52c | 836.75$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.12 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 36c | 738.21$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.95 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 55c | 694.71$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.9 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 62c | 406.27$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 78c | 325.83$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.68 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 41c | 292.55$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.44 | 73 | 68.5%50 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 70c | 282.79$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 53c | 266.04$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.78 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 45c | 240$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yes | 50c | 238.61$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.31 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes | 45c | 217.78$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.78 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 48c | 153.01$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.57 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x219c…fed6backed No | 38c | 125$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 36cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 52c | 124.88$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.94 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes | 51c | 119.61$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.61 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 42c | 118.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.18 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 63c | 114$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.96 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 48c | 112$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.9 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 44c | 98.11$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.17 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Yes | 56c | 77.46$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.17 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 51c | 59.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 79c | 54.47$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Yes | 44c | 52.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a85…e543backed No | 44c | 51.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 199 | 48.7%97 W · 102 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce6…8e94backed No | 51c | 49.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 38c | 47.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 54c | 46.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 48c | 38.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Yes | 48c | 33.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 109 | 29.4%32 W · 77 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Yes | 73c | 33.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 70c | 28.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d5…ab3ebacked No | 53c | 23.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc986…1654backed Yes | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a42…ad20backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Fredericia win on 2026-05-17?this page
- Will FC Fredericia vs. Silkeborg IF end in a draw?No won
- Will Silkeborg IF win on 2026-05-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.