Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95fc80f1b99cfb6d2579905d285d06883fbb2ce8ffdbde7c2420e5f77cc05ade
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,933
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,984
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,933 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 50c | 389.76$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.59 | 2,923 | 44.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L | -91.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Under | 51c | 243.16$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.01 | 192 | 59.9%115 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 72c | 224.59$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.67 | 1,168 | 66.1%772 W · 396 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 50c | 220.9$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.9 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1d…3fa1backed Over | 52c | 190.83$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.7 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 48c | 187.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,490 | 54.6%813 W · 677 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 32c | 165.72$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.31 | 1,952 | 30.6%597 W · 1,355 L | -166.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Over | 57c | 149.28$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.76 | 629 | 42.4%267 W · 362 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 22c | 110$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 1,726 | 29.4%507 W · 1,219 L | -124.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Over | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.84 | 188 | 41%77 W · 111 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0384…3a68backed Over | 72c | 92.52$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 20c | 90.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2,303 | 39.4%907 W · 1,396 L | -82.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…b36bbacked Over | 70c | 82.53$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fc…5dafbacked Under | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 15c | 75.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 1,349 | 31.1%420 W · 929 L | -128.5wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 28c | 73.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 1,923 | 35.9%690 W · 1,233 L | -98.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a56…be30backed Over | 61c | 68.93$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8b…646dbacked Over | 75c | 64.38$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf08e…1256backed Over | 72c | 55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +11.5wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Over | 53c | 46.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 660 | 58.8%388 W · 272 L | -36.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 44c | 45.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 972 | 54.3%528 W · 444 L | +46.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 49c | 41.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 612 | 56.2%344 W · 268 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Over | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Under | 47c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 46c | 22.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: DK.C (-1.5) vs Nongshim Esports Academy (+1.5)Nongshim Esports Academy won
- LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge GroupDplus KIA Challengers won
- LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 1 WinnerNongshim Esports Academy won
- LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 WinnerDplus KIA Challengers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.