Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon WTA: Anastasia Gasanova vs Naomi Osaka
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9613a55483c34d560223b2fbae59917720ddfc47e88827ce51c8b2b40c05ba2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Naomi Osakaof Anastasia Gasanova, Naomi Osaka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,448
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,448 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3705…9677backed Anastasia Gasanova | 8c | 6,659$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.79 | 130 | 29.2%38 W · 92 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Anastasia Gasanova | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 168 | 25%42 W · 126 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Anastasia Gasanova | 6c | 4,023$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.13 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Anastasia Gasanova | 5c | 4,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 609 | 43.3%264 W · 345 L | -24.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…f108backed Anastasia Gasanova | 1c | 3,568$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 527 | 39.3%207 W · 320 L | +37.6wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…484ebacked Anastasia Gasanova | 7c | 3,476$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.35 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Anastasia Gasanova | 4c | 2,845$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.01 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Anastasia Gasanova | 7c | 1,799$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.96 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Anastasia Gasanova | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…1b54backed Anastasia Gasanova | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9da…3ef5backed Anastasia Gasanova | 2c | 1,191$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -65%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Anastasia Gasanova | 6c | 582.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a17…e0c3backed Anastasia Gasanova | 7c | 528.57$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Anastasia Gasanova | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Anastasia Gasanova | 7c | 286$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54c7…7f52backed Anastasia Gasanova | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f9…45a7backed Anastasia Gasanova | 7c | 209.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 380 | 66.3%252 W · 128 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Anastasia Gasanova | 6c | 190.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca2…134fbacked Anastasia Gasanova | 5c | 190.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa802…4575backed Anastasia Gasanova | 8c | 175$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wimbledon WTA: Anastasia Gasanova vs Naomi Osakathis page
- Gasanova vs. Osaka: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Gasanova vs OsakaOsaka won
- Set 2 Winner: Gasanova vs OsakaOsaka won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.