Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96212f0670ba93dbb633b0bb36a84084635c25c34eceede58d4fb32a38f8ecb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $163,013
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $195,879
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,013 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 10c | 11,573$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.74 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 1c | 11,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 41 | 4.9%2 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 1c | 10,127$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.27 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 9c | 6,625$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.38 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 4c | 6,444$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.63 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 8c | 5,892$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.08 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 16c | 2,812$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 16c | 2,524$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.05 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked No | 15c | 2,445$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ad…c3c9backed No | 2c | 1,659$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 12c | 1,624$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.98 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 12c | 1,355$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.34 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed No | 16c | 946.25$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 15c | 800$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 138 | 21%29 W · 109 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 2c | 692.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 3c | 554.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -10.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 4c | 551.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 18c | 547.07$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.47 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed No | 13c | 538.96$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.41 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 18c | 478.6$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.15 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked No | 17c | 453$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.01 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d0…ee5abacked No | 8c | 421.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked No | 7c | 421.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed No | 11c | 381.82$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +11.5wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 17c | 300.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 17c | 191.52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 16c | 188.53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed No | 6c | 168.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 18c | 115$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 16c | 94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 17c | 90$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…c5eabacked No | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 40cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc904…1e9abacked Yes | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-21?this page
- Will Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-01-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.