Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Fortuna Sittard vs. NAC Breda end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x962575c234ebabbd8413bedbd7651f532a5e54fd9587cf587a77c2437f1d06a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,861
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,861 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 4,849$3,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,489.47 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 28c | 4,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065 | 108 | 25%27 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 1,486$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.01 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 28c | 1,438$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.26 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…7044backed Yes | 27c | 1,126$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…02d2backed No | 70c | 1,054$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.52 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 76c | 883.39$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.38 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 529.82$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.28 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 72c | 500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 72c | 500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 73c | 495.05$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.38 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.55 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes | 35c | 371.43$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 73c | 354.59$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.62 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 23c | 326.58$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.57 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 79c | 245.43$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed9…bbd3backed No | 70c | 218.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.29 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -5.2wins | -0.25per pick | 67cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 29c | 204.33$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.01 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked No | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84bb…25d3backed Yes | 30c | 190.1$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.07 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…d9f7backed Yes | 19c | 160$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 27c | 129.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.63 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 32c | 109.17$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 26c | 103.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.98 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 40c | 100.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.33 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…860fbacked No | 63c | 80.95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 26c | 73.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.94 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5926…a9debacked No | 60c | 66.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 73c | 65.85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 28c | 62.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 73c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 65c | 55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked No | 79c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -8.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 70c | 49.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Yes | 21c | 47.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +137.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…4616backed Yes | 38c | 45.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.18 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Yes | 27c | 44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…a035backed No | 66c | 40.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 40c | 36.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a35…2580backed No | 75c | 29.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -62%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…c8eebacked Yes | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +107.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked No | 73c | 24.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed No | 64c | 20.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fortuna Sittard vs. NAC Breda end in a draw?this page
- Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-04-12?No won
- Will NAC Breda win on 2026-04-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.