Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Ibragimova vs Badosa
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9633ba516601bc35afbc348a4e9b19f99096f49c7db33c5c02dfb968f7011ef7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Badosaof Ibragimova, Badosa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,986
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,986 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc93…718bbacked Ibragimova | 1c | 4,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ibragimova | 32c | 1,836$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.88 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Badosa | 77c | 1,250$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.5 | 747 | 43.6%326 W · 421 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Ibragimova | 52c | 603.59$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.16 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…8769backed Badosa | 62c | 463.13$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.99 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2c…b707backed Ibragimova | 43c | 406.09$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.93 | 111 | 26.1%29 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Badosa | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Badosa | 54c | 324.24$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.15 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Badosa | 37c | 214.89$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.38 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Badosa | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Badosa | 45c | 144$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 226 | 51.8%117 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4159…beedbacked Badosa | 76c | 143.92$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Ibragimova | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Ibragimova | 23c | 99.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Ibragimova | 24c | 69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2842…e81bbacked Badosa | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Badosa | 73c | 48.68$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Badosa | 73c | 33.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68a0…7513backed Ibragimova | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Ibragimova | 57c | 17.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Ibragimova vs Badosathis page
- Alevtina Ibragimova vs. Paula Badosa: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Iasi Open: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Paula BadosaPaula Badosa won
- Ibragimova vs. Badosa: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Ibragimova vs. Badosa: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Set Handicap: Badosa (-1.5) vs Ibragimova (+1.5)Ibragimova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.