Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Women's: Dalma Galfi vs Clara Tauson
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96364b8168023f3bc9a0b63317ed55b91d2418d6fc97ae7a6c55296e15be1f76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tausonof Galfi, Tauson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,974
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,429
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,974 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Galfi | 36c | 5,250$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880.08 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tauson | 77c | 3,971$3,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.33 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Galfi | 0c | 3,688$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Tauson | 64c | 1,569$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.76 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tauson | 64c | 1,124$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.64 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Galfi | 34c | 766.82$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.05 | 289 | 33.2%96 W · 193 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Galfi | 26c | 677$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.02 | 375 | 40.8%153 W · 222 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Galfi | 11c | 663.97$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.74 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Galfi | 3c | 540.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Tauson | 66c | 458.91$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.03 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93cb…3485backed Galfi | 34c | 450$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 306 | 39.9%122 W · 184 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Tauson | 66c | 444$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.96 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc76a…c5c9backed Galfi | 9c | 399.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Galfi | 35c | 353$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.55 | 227 | 23.8%54 W · 173 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Galfi | 22c | 235.72$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.28 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Tauson | 72c | 145.29$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Galfi | 9c | 111.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Galfi | 12c | 107$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f42…2260backed Galfi | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…9d86backed Tauson | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Tauson | 64c | 70.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2ec1backed Tauson | 68c | 64.71$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Galfi | 35c | 62.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…43e9backed Galfi | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +73%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x599a…8f57backed Galfi | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Tauson | 69c | 58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Galfi | 30c | 49.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de6…fdb3backed Tauson | 64c | 30.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 66cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…6a00backed Tauson | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Tauson | 66c | 29.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefb4…9653backed Tauson | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 61 | 73.8%45 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Tauson | 80c | 27.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…3679backed Tauson | 69c | 19.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x16e9…aeefbacked Tauson | 70c | 18.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Tauson | 77c | 17.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Tauson | 79c | 15.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.12 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Women's: Dalma Galfi vs Clara Tausonthis page
- Galfi vs. Tauson: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Galfi vs. Tauson: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.