Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Northern Illinois Huskies vs. Toledo Rockets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96690be8ff093275a9bcca9c065e3e36b709d4d4d0aa52a234ba07f9150d54cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toledo Rocketsof Northern Illinois Huskies, Toledo Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 12c | 1,538$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.93 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 10c | 1,017$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.69 | 149 | 30.2%45 W · 104 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5c…a5debacked Northern Illinois Huskies | 13c | 996.04$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.49 | 106 | 22.6%24 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 11c | 764.72$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.12 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Northern Illinois Huskies | 12c | 553$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Northern Illinois Huskies | 13c | 519.6$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.35 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 11c | 506.14$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.91 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Northern Illinois Huskies | 11c | 500$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Northern Illinois Huskies | 7c | 379.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 14c | 355.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 97 | 11.3%11 W · 86 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 13c | 231.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Northern Illinois Huskies | 13c | 199.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Northern Illinois Huskies | 13c | 199.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…df01backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 13c | 99.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +138.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…3f1bbacked Northern Illinois Huskies | 13c | 99.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf547…4d4fbacked Northern Illinois Huskies | 13c | 99.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Northern Illinois Huskies | 13c | 83.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 208 | 34.6%72 W · 136 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Northern Illinois Huskies | 13c | 79.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Northern Illinois Huskies | 13c | 78.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 14c | 71.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Northern Illinois Huskies vs. Toledo Rocketsthis page
- Northern Illinois Huskies vs. Toledo Rockets: O/U 150.5Under won
- Spread: Toledo Rockets (-11.5)Northern Illinois Huskies won
- Spread: Toledo Rockets (-12.5)Northern Illinois Huskies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.